Author Topic: The Electoral College Prediction thread  (Read 1527 times)

Scout26

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The Electoral College Prediction thread
« on: October 27, 2012, 03:12:43 AM »
Step right up and place your bets.

1.  Who will win the nationwide Popular vote and percentage.
2.  The Electoral College vote.* 


I'll go first:

1.  Romney- 53%
2.  He gets over 306, maybe as many as 368.

Closest to being exact on EC wins^.  Percent of PV will be used as a tie breaker.



* If you need a map to play with the EC numbers:  http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/fullpage/2012-presidential-elections-fantasy-game-game-changer-15177994

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charby

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2012, 05:56:00 AM »
Electorial Votes

Romney 317
Obama 211

Iowa- 88% more livable that the rest of the US

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birdman

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2012, 08:54:11 AM »
Electorial Votes

Romney 317
Obama 211

Some states not counted?

RocketMan

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2012, 01:20:29 PM »
Romney wins the popular vote 49% to 46%, but loses the Electoral College vote to Obama 290 to 248.
If there really was intelligent life on other planets, we'd be sending them foreign aid.

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birdman

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2012, 01:46:20 PM »
Romney 285 to Obama 253 (Romney carries OH FL NC VA NH CO IA, Obama WI MI PA NV)
Popular vote to Romney 52-48

Based on giving any toss-up currently rated at less than Obama +2.5% to Romney based on turnout due to their polling bias, hurricane sandy -slightly- reducing early incumbent voting in NH, OH, NC, and my guess that the turnout will be 2010 R leaning or more based on heavily energized base--as with past elections, challenger vs incumbent vs open typically leads to more turnout in favor of challenger.

And the senate breaks to R 50/50 or 51/50 (hopefully the later, to get rid of Reid).  Even without a supermajority, there are sufficient somewhat fiscally okay democrats who will be up in 2014 who will want to have up/down votes to vote for cloture and thus actually get some voting done.

50+tie breaker should also allow for force voting certain issues...like budget and/or reconciliation votes. 
« Last Edit: October 27, 2012, 01:50:59 PM by birdman »

French G.

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2012, 02:02:46 PM »
I'm not going to do the addition, I'll just predict trumped up controversy, mysteriously changing numbers and ultimately Obama by one popular vote of one Ms Elena Kagan.
AKA Navy Joe   

I'm so contrarian that I didn't respond to the thread.

RoadKingLarry

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2012, 08:41:00 PM »
I predict the biggest flusterlcuck in the history of US elections. Fraud, legal challenges, protests, fraud  and more irregularities than the testers at a laxative factory.
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Cliffh

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2012, 10:10:13 PM »
I predict the biggest flusterlcuck in the history of US elections. Fraud, legal challenges, protests, fraud  and more irregularities than the testers at a laxative factory.

What he said.

charby

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2012, 11:26:22 PM »
Some states not counted?

Probably forgot to click on a couple but none the less.

Iowa- 88% more livable that the rest of the US

Uranus is a gas giant.

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Azrael256

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2012, 12:34:13 AM »
Some states not counted?

Arizona secedes.

RocketMan

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2012, 12:07:24 AM »
Romney wins the popular vote 49% to 46%, but loses the Electoral College vote to Obama 290 to 248.

 Dammit, I wasn't too far off.  Popular vote was closer than I expected, though.
If there really was intelligent life on other planets, we'd be sending them foreign aid.

Conservatives see George Orwell's "1984" as a cautionary tale.  Progressives view it as a "how to" manual.

My wife often says to me, "You are evil and must be destroyed." She may be right.

Liberals believe one should never let reason, logic and facts get in the way of a good emotional argument.

lupinus

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Re: The Electoral College Prediction thread
« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2012, 12:25:45 AM »
so far
That is all. *expletive deleted*ck you all, eat *expletive deleted*it, and die in a fire. I have considered writing here a long parting section dedicated to each poster, but I have decided, at length, against it. *expletive deleted*ck you all and Hail Satan.