I seriously begin to think otherwise, these days. I think the whole Iran thing is overblown by everybody involved - Ahmadinejad, Bibi, etc. etc. - for their various benefits.
Interesting. Ahmadinejad is still threatening to remove Israel from the map. I am assuming they are still funding Hezbollah. The window for Israel to act to prevent a second nuclear power in the region, and one that is openly hostile, seems to me to be rapidly closing. Once Iran has a weapon, you can no longer destroy the program to develop the weapon.
Obviously Bibi's domestic policy is pro-settlement, but I would have thought part of his foreign policy would be the prevention of a situation where there is a second, overtly hostile, nuclear power.
I've tried to figure out the different chess moves involved in this policy, and the only one that I can't figure out is the next Israeli move. I still believe that there was a trade made with Putin over the missile systems in return for his support in halting the Iranian nuclear program (or supporting sanctions overtly). This means that the US has used the defense systems in Eastern Europe as a chip to get a nice neat foreign diplomacy trophy.
Regardless of whether the Russians will deliver on any promises (which I don't think they will), I don't think that the Iranians will put the genie back in the bottle. Which still leaves Israel faced with the same problems they have now, but assuming there is a deal announced where Iran is "dismantling its nuclear program", Israel has the same options it has now, but without the 'political cover'.
Here's how I see it playing out:
1. Moscow leans on Iran to fulfill the quid pro quo.
2. Iran announces that it is suspending it's program.
3. Obama announces a diplomatic victory.
4. Iran covertly restarts its program.
5. The UN inspectors can't find it.
6. The Israelis get intel.
7. They take it out.
8. Massive condemnation by everyone, including the US.
I only offer Osirak and our experiences with North Korea as a basis for my reasoning.
IMHO, Obama has sold out more than the Poles and the Czechs.