Author Topic: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...  (Read 1978 times)

Intune

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Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama on Monday blamed Republicans for the "most serious financial crisis" since the 1930s after Wall Street debt woes sent global markets into meltdown.


The Roots of the Subprime Mortgage Mess Have Clinton All Over Them
By Jimmie on Sep 21, 2008 in The Economy and Your Money

There has been a lot of talk recently about subprime mortgages and the thought occurred to me that something had to happen in the financial market to make subprime mortgages so attractive for companies to offer.. First is this tidbit from the USA Today, in 2004:
Subprime mortgage activity grew an average 25% a year from 1994 to 2003, outpacing the rate of growth for prime mortgages. The industry accounted for about $330 billion, or 9%, of U.S. mortgages in 2003, up from $35 billion a decade earlier.

Where did this come from? Its not as if subprime mortgages were brand new things in 1994. Theyve existed for quite a long time, but mortgage companies didnt offer them very often. Something had to happen to generate such a marked increase. Financial markets dont just shift to a new lending practice without a darned good reason. For there to be a tenfold increase in subprime mortgages means that something dramatic had to happen. So what was it?
In this case, it was the Clinton administration.

In 1994, the administration pushed through some fundamental changes to the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977. The goal of these changes was to make sure that banks were serving low and moderate income geographies and making sure that these banks economically empowered persons of low and moderate income. Regulators were then given more power to punish banks that did not comply with the new rules These changes led directly, I believe, to the explosion of subprime mortgages and contributed heavily to our current financial debacle.

The changes did two basic things. First, the government changed the measure by which the regulators decided whether a bank was in compliance with the act or not. Prior to 1994, the ratings were determined in large part by what efforts banks were taking to reach into these neighborhoods - what advertising they were doing, how many bank branches they opened, what sort of outreach they made into offering loans and mortgages. The new rules made the rating dependent on outcome-based numbers - how many mortgages were signed, how much money was loaned, and so on. Those numbers were broken down on racial lines, as well as by neighborhood, and by financial status. In other words, for a bank to get a good rating under the CRA it had to actually start writing mortgages to low-income lenders instead of simply offering mortgages and advertising its services. This was not merely a matter of paperwork. As the Comtroller said in 1994, non compliance would bring out the full panoply of all our enforcement armorarium. In other words, the government had a couple brand-new hammers and they intended to use them if banks didnt make low-income loans.

The second thing that happened is that the Clinton administration made it easier for groups to make complaints against banks for perceived under-performance. That put an immense amount of pressure on banks to cut deals with largely left-wing political groups who them turned that money toward more advocacy and dodgy loans. As a rather prescient article in the City Paper put it:
Crucially, the new CRA regulations also instructed bank examiners to take into account how well banks responded to complaints. The old CRA evaluation process had allowed advocacy groups a chance to express their views on individual banks, and publicly available data on the lending patterns of individual banks allowed activist groups to target institutions considered vulnerable to protest. But for advocacy groups that were in the complaint business, the Clinton administration regulations offered a formal invitation. The National Community Reinvestment Coalitiona foundation-funded umbrella group for community activist groups that profit from the CRAissued a clarion call to its members in a leaflet entitled The New CRA Regulations: How Community Groups Can Get Involved. Timely comments, the NCRC observed with a certain understatement, can have a strong influence on a banks CRA rating.

The Clinton administrations get-tough regulatory regime mattered so crucially because bank deregulation had set off a wave of mega-mergers, including the acquisition of the Bank of America by NationsBank, BankBoston by Fleet Financial, and Bankers Trust by Deutsche Bank. Regulatory approval of such mergers depended, in part, on positive CRA ratings. To avoid the possibility of a denied or delayed application, advises the NCRC in its deadpan tone, lending institutions have an incentive to make formal agreements with community organizations. By interveningeven just threatening to intervenein the CRA review process, left-wing nonprofit groups have been able to gain control over eye-popping pools of bank capital, which they in turn parcel out to individual low-income mortgage seekers. A radical group called ACORN Housing has a $760 million commitment from the Bank of New York; the Boston-based Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America has a $3-billion agreement with the Bank of America; a coalition of groups headed by New Jersey Citizen Action has a five-year, $13-billion agreement with First Union Corporation. Similar deals operate in almost every major U.S. city. Observes Tom Callahan, executive director of the Massachusetts Affordable Housing Alliance, which has $220 million in bank mortgage money to parcel out, CRA is the backbone of everything we do.

Its not a real mystery to see what happened next. Lending institutions, under the gun to give out loans, started extending loans to people who would not have qualified for them otherwise. Those loans, called subprime because they are made to people who are not prime credit risks, carried higher interest rates (because the lender needs to make sure that it makes money out of a loan that is far more likely to go into default) and other costly attachments that mitigated the risk to the lender and the people whose money the lender was using for these loans (i.e. folks like you and me). The more pressure that was put on banks from these advocacy groups and government regulators, the more subprime mortgages they issued to keep their CRA score high enough to remain in compliance.

Now, the Clinton administration is not solely responsible for our current financial woes, but it did contribute greatly to the explosion of subprime mortgages, which helped drive us to where we are now. If were going to eventually untangle this mess, the CRA and Clintons 1994 regulation expansion is a good place to start.


Professor 357-
Did you wonder, as I have been wondering, WHY the Democrats are not holding hearings on just who is responsible for this debacle?

That was a rhetorical question. The answer is that they, the Democrats in Congress and their friends in the banking community, have their hands all over this mortgage breakdown, and they know it. If the Republicans had even the slightest part in it, the Waxman's of the banking committee would be all over them for the political gain. Instead, we've got Barney Frank and Charlie Schmuckman... er.. Schuman talking about how those evil CEOs, who are making too much money and getting golden parachutes are to blame.

But who set up the banking community for this?

(1) Go back to the Community Reinvestment Program of Jimmy Carter. This program started the idea that banks should "invest" money in the community [read "poor city neighborhoods"] as their "contribution" to the community.

(2) Add Bill Clinton's administration, during which Barney Frank in the House and Chris Dodd in the Senate make this community investment a mandate for banks, regardless of the credit-worthiness of those getting the loans. If they don't make loans in depressed areas, to people devoid of the ability to pay back the loan, the bank gets branded as racist. This government interference in home lending policy gives rise to the subprime loan, the "paperless" loan [no credible job or income required], and the interest-only loan.

(3) Just to make sure this becomes a major problem, Democrats in the House and Senate stifle more than a dozen attempts by Republicans during the Bush Administration to rein in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, just since 2003.

(4) Just to make sure that this crisis hits in advance of this Presidential election, Charlie Schumer writes an inflammatory letter to a bank about their risky loan position, then leaks that information to the press, single-handedly causing the bank to fail. Way to go, Chuckie! Of course, this raises the awareness of the Media, which has been sleeping through the buildup of these problems over the past 10 years, and the banks start to fall like dominos.

(5) Meanwhile, the politically-connected people at the top of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have made their bundles [Jamie Gorelick comes to mind] and moved on, leaving the present CEOs holding the empty bag. Just in time for Barney Frank and Chris Dodd to call for limits on CEO
compensation as a function of the housing bailout.

So, who should be held responsible for the housing debacle? How about the Democrats in Congress that forced those banks and quasi-governmental lending agencies [Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac] to make all those unsecured loans, and those Democrats in Congress who prevented the Bush Administration and the Republicans from instituting sound fiscal loan policies before the situation got to this dire condition?

Nah. That makes too much sense. And with Nancy Pelosi in charge of the House, and Harry Reid in charge of the Senate, there will never be any real assigning of blame to a Democratic politician, regardless of how deserving they are.

 shocked

AZRedhawk44

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Re: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...
« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2008, 07:36:19 AM »
Most economic woes experienced by one president are the direct result of policy decisions of the preceding administration.

Economic policies typically take about 8 years to have a tangible effect on the economy.

Bubbatrash had a good 8 years of prosperity because of the decisions of Reagan and Bush I.  Bush II has had a rough 8 years because of the national security and economic policies of Bubbatrash.
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I reject your authoritah!

silliman89

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Re: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...
« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2008, 01:20:51 PM »
Here's the same basic story.

http://www.nypost.com/seven/02052008/postopinion/opedcolumnists/the_real_scandal_243911.htm?page=0

Quote
THE REAL SCANDAL
HOW FEDS INVITED THE MORTGAGE MESS
By STAN LIEBOWITZ

 Did what gov't asked: Countrywide CEO Angelo Mozilo.February 5, 2008

PERHAPS the greatest scandal of the mort gage crisis is that it is a direct result of an intentional loosening of underwriting standards - done in the name of ending discrimination, despite warnings that it could lead to wide-scale defaults.

At the crisis' core are loans that were made with virtually nonexistent underwriting standards - no verification of income or assets; little consideration of the applicant's ability to make payments; no down payment.

Most people instinctively understand that such loans are likely to be unsound. But how did the heavily-regulated banking industry end up able to engage in such foolishness?

From the current hand-wringing, you'd think that the banks came up with the idea of looser underwriting standards on their own, with regulators just asleep on the job. In fact, it was the regulators who relaxed these standards - at the behest of community groups and "progressive" political forces.

In the 1980s, groups such as the activists at ACORN began pushing charges of "redlining" - claims that banks discriminated against minorities in mortgage lending. In 1989, sympathetic members of Congress got the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act amended to force banks to collect racial data on mortgage applicants; this allowed various studies to be ginned up that seemed to validate the original accusation.

In fact, minority mortgage applications were rejected more frequently than other applications - but the overwhelming reason wasn't racial discrimination, but simply that minorities tend to have weaker finances.

Yet a "landmark" 1992 study from the Boston Fed concluded that mortgage-lending discrimination was systemic.

That study was tremendously flawed - a colleague and I later showed that the data it had used contained thousands of egregious typos, such as loans with negative interest rates. Our study found no evidence of discrimination.

Yet the political agenda triumphed - with the president of the Boston Fed saying no new studies were needed, and the US comptroller of the currency seconding the motion.

No sooner had the ink dried on its discrimination study than the Boston Fed, clearly speaking for the entire Fed, produced a manual for mortgage lenders stating that: "discrimination may be observed when a lender's underwriting policies contain arbitrary or outdated criteria that effectively disqualify many urban or lower-income minority applicants."

Some of these "outdated" criteria included the size of the mortgage payment relative to income, credit history, savings history and income verification. Instead, the Boston Fed ruled that participation in a credit-counseling program should be taken as evidence of an applicant's ability to manage debt.

Sound crazy? You bet. Those "outdated" standards existed to limit defaults. But bank regulators required the loosened underwriting standards, with approval by politicians and the chattering class. A 1995 strengthening of the Community Reinvestment Act required banks to find ways to provide mortgages to their poorer communities. It also let community activists intervene at yearly bank reviews, shaking the banks down for large pots of money.

Banks that got poor reviews were punished; some saw their merger plans frustrated; others faced direct legal challenges by the Justice Department.

Flexible lending programs expanded even though they had higher default rates than loans with traditional standards. On the Web, you can still find CRA loans available via ACORN with "100 percent financing . . . no credit scores . . . undocumented income . . . even if you don't report it on your tax returns." Credit counseling is required, of course.

Ironically, an enthusiastic Fannie Mae Foundation report singled out one paragon of nondiscriminatory lending, which worked with community activists and followed "the most flexible underwriting criteria permitted." That lender's $1 billion commitment to low-income loans in 1992 had grown to $80 billion by 1999 and $600 billion by early 2003.

Who was that virtuous lender? Why - Countrywide, the nation's largest mortgage lender, recently in the headlines as it hurtled toward bankruptcy.

In an earlier newspaper story extolling the virtues of relaxed underwriting standards, Countrywide's chief executive bragged that, to approve minority applications that would otherwise be rejected "lenders have had to stretch the rules a bit." He's not bragging now.

For years, rising house prices hid the default problems since quick refinances were possible. But now that house prices have stopped rising, we can clearly see the damage caused by relaxed lending standards.

This damage was quite predictable: "After the warm and fuzzy glow of 'flexible underwriting standards' has worn off, we may discover that they are nothing more than standards that lead to bad loans . . . these policies will have done a disservice to their putative beneficiaries if . . . they are dispossessed from their homes." I wrote that, with Ted Day, in a 1998 academic article.

Sadly, we were spitting into the wind.

These days, everyone claims to favor strong lending standards. What about all those self-righteous newspapers, politicians and regulators who were intent on loosening lending standards?

As you might expect, they are now self-righteously blaming those, such as Countrywide, who did what they were told.

Stan Liebowitz is the Ashbel Smith professor of Economics in the Business School at the University of Texas at Dallas.

Tallpine

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Re: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...
« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2008, 06:43:25 AM »
Quote
an enthusiastic Fannie Mae Foundation report singled out one paragon of nondiscriminatory lending, which worked with community activists and followed "the most flexible underwriting criteria permitted." That lender's $1 billion commitment to low-income loans in 1992 had grown to $80 billion by 1999 and $600 billion by early 2003.

community activists - you mean like BHO Huh?

 rolleyes
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MicroBalrog

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Re: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...
« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2008, 08:27:21 AM »
Quote
an enthusiastic Fannie Mae Foundation report singled out one paragon of nondiscriminatory lending, which worked with community activists and followed "the most flexible underwriting criteria permitted." That lender's $1 billion commitment to low-income loans in 1992 had grown to $80 billion by 1999 and $600 billion by early 2003.

....wait, HOW MANY BILLION?
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agricola

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Re: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...
« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2008, 09:16:45 AM »
The NYT responds with this:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/24/us/politics/24davis.html?_r=2&hp=&adxnnl=1&oref=slogin&pagewanted=1&adxnnlx=1222279936-uXBwq6SnRTo3iic+M1jrTw

I am sure you will agree that this conclusively demonstrates (albeit without any actual evidence) that McCain is a big old liar and his man Davis one too, because the company Davis is alleged to co-owns took $15,000 worth of retainer from Freddie Mac a month despite Davis not actually working there or drawing a salary or dividend from the place.  The McCain response is here:

http://www.johnmccain.com/mccainreport/Read.aspx?guid=74063c9d-7cb5-47c9-acf6-53c0c2d88376

Finally, since you all (since you share a continent with them) are more likely to know this than I - has the New York Times actually endorsed a candidate yet?  Publically, of course.
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Headless Thompson Gunner

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Re: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...
« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2008, 09:24:10 AM »
Finally, since you all (since you share a continent with them) are more likely to know this than I - has the New York Times actually endorsed a candidate yet?  Publically, of course.
The NYTimes endorsed McCain in the Republican primaries.  As soon as he won, the NYTimes ran a complete lie of a story about McCain having an extramarital affair with a female lobbyist.

For whatever that's worth...

Monkeyleg

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Re: The next time you hear "Bush & the Republicans..." Remember this...
« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2008, 01:02:24 PM »
The New York Times really should register as a New York in-state campaign committee for Obama.