I do not like the idea of forgetting about the movie. It was so well done even though they wrote it so as to take the Simon-Mal dynamic back to the point before OiS. The fact that River's escape was changed around to include Simon which does not fit at all with his characterization from Jayne's Town. And of course the killing off of two beloved characters...so a lot of good work would be flushed. And that doesn't seem fair to the people who worked on the movie and those that really love it. Plus it has one of, if not the greatest, space battles ever filmed. Throwing that away would be a crime.
It would be better to fit episodes in before the movie and maybe also some post Jayne's hiring pre-Tams flashback stuff.
As to the Alliance They're weaker but not out of it. This might just be the opening the Browncoats need to restart the war. Although I've always thought it was less a real war of independence than some cause made up by corporate-Alliance interests so that various keiretsu could sell massive amounts of arms and support to both sides. Only ending when both sides were too exhausted to continue. Or when the folks enriching themselves overreached and caused other factions to rebel inside the Alliance.
And does anybody have a better color for use in a spoiler tag for this board?