2. Buggy-whip makers, grooms, and cart-drivers lose their jobs. However, far more jobs are create selling cars, fixing cars, and driving cars, as cars improve everyone's productivity and wealth.
But I suspect very much - and many people who are far smarter agree with me - that we are expecting a different paradigm now.
Now it will be... 'journalist is replaced by financial journalism software' (this already exists), 'journalist attempts to find burger-flipping job, job has been eaten by robot burger flippers', 'journalist attempts to find job as a truck driver, job has been obviated by driverless trucks'.
Pretty much. While I believe it will sort itself out eventually. At some point, we'll have the Culture and live in giant space ships that sort out everything for us. In the mean time... It'll be interesting. Even as a libertarian, I do recognize lots of folks out of work and unable to find a job that'll pay the bills means social unrest.
There are some jobs that aren't going to be replaced by machines for a very long time, simply because the technology doesn't exist.
Also, there is always plenty of work available for people willing to do hard work. Sadly, very few Americans are willing to break a sweat for pay check- especially when a government handout is a lot easier and completely painless.
Meh. I've done hard manual labor at well below minimum wage. I don't know if I doubt it noble. It was educational, but so was starvation, dehydration, injuries, long term sleep deprivation. Breaking a sweat for a paycheck isn't shameful. But I learned not to break a swear unless it pays.
Manual ag work doesn't pay well. So folks tend not to go for it. Supply and demand. Unless you cheat and break the law, or pay to have the law changed. If government handout pays more than manual labor, then sure, you'll have an issue.