Author Topic: The Stock Market and the Election  (Read 2641 times)

HankB

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The Stock Market and the Election
« on: October 24, 2008, 09:37:06 AM »
Everyone knows what has been happening to the stock market - the usual "suspects" in the downturn are the sub-prime lending mess (think "Community Reinvestment Act"), deficit spending, and high oil prices.

Oil is dropping, but that doesn't seem to have had much of an effect on markets.

So I was wondering . . . is it possible that investors aren't optimistic about what a Barack Hussein Obama presidency would mean to the economy? I mean, with a guy who's basically a socialist at the helm, it bodes ill for the country's finances. (Not that Bush et. al. have been responsible, because they haven't.)

Maybe Obama is seen as jumping out of the frying pan into the fire.

Any thoughts?
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ronnyreagan

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2008, 10:42:09 AM »
I guess it's possible. The current administration seems to want to subsidize wall street, Obama would rather subsidize the poor. The former is obviously more attractive to wall street.

I mean, with a guy who's basically a socialist at the helm
Maybe it's the "boy who cried wolf" thing for me, but I've heard every single person the GOP runs against eventually called a "socialist" and I just can't take it seriously anymore.
"Because of things I have done on behalf of justice to the workingman, I have often been called a Socialist. Usually I have not taken the trouble even to notice the epithet. … Moreover, I know that many American Socialists are high-minded and honorable citizens, who in reality are merely radical social reformers. "
You have to respect the president, whether you agree with him or not.
Obama, however, is not the president since a Kenyan cannot legally be the U.S. President ;/

Nitrogen

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2008, 10:51:21 AM »
I don't think the markets are thinking much about anything outside of their own little world right now.

As things level out, people might be thinking more long-term, but I don't see that now.

The thing about the markets, is, things aren't so much based on reality, but on perception.  Many people out there think Obama is going to be good for this country (I know many here disagree, but that's not the majority opinion currently) so I don't see it having much of a negative effect.

That's the beauty of capitalism; people with flexibility can find a way to make money in any climate; albeit a liberal or conservative one.  Its one of the biggest strengths of our country's economy.
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Standing Wolf

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2008, 11:34:54 AM »
Fifty years from now, all the evidence will be in: the markets were manipulated to create a panic to enhance the appeal of Barak Hussein Obama.
No tyrant should ever be allowed to die of natural causes.

Manedwolf

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2008, 11:36:42 AM »
Fifty years from now, all the evidence will be in: the markets were manipulated to create a panic to enhance the appeal of Barak Hussein Obama.

Um...no.

The only thing that's happened is that the Republicans are being stupid, thus the Democrats, who CAUSED this mess, are able to successfully pin it on them.

Every time Barney Frank gets up there and LIES AND LIES AND LIES, people believe him. They don't understand who caused the whole mess with the "fairness in lending" crap!

Rudy Kohn

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2008, 11:55:20 AM »
ronnyreagan:

"These men realized that the doctrines of the old laissez-faire economists, of the believers in unlimited competition, unlimited individualism, were in actual state of affairs, false and mischievous.  They realized that the Government must now interfere to protect labor, to subordinate the big corporation to the public welfare, and to shackle cunning and fraud exactly as centuries before it had interfered to shackle the physical force which does wrong by violence."

I'm not a really strong student of history, but it seems to me that shackling physical force and fraud are legitimately not socialist, but shackling cunning (when not accompanied by fraud) and subordinating the big corporation to the public welfare are socialist ideas.  Getting some oversight to the food and drug industry to ensure that customers don't get poisoned is fine, but regulation of railroad fares is not.

Theodore Roosevelt said elsewhere in his autobiography that he disagrees with Marxian Socialists, and doesn't think class warfare is occurring or is even necessary.  He wasn't a dedicated socialist, but some of his ideals apparently were socialistic.  When people subjugate the rights of others, there is a legitimate case for government action.  When railroads charge what they want for use of their transport structure, there is not.

McCain is far from a laissez-faire economist.  Obama is further.  His contemptful attitude towared "this notion" of a free market is very telling.  The fact is that socialist policies will not turn America into a cesspool in four years.  However, once entitlements are put forward, it is exceedingly difficult to retract them.  Obama wants to expand the system of entitlements.  Socialism is not a waterslide to destruction--it's more like an economic swamp.  You sink a bit, slowly, and, by the time you sink more, you've gotten used to being where you are.  It doesn't kill you, it just makes you a little less comfortable at a time.  The average person is tall enough that he won't drown.

The extended order of the market has provided enough plenty that the world can basically sustain the current population of 6 billion.  Local situations in industrialized nations are, generally speaking, much better than they were fifty years ago, and sustainable population densities keep growing.  The expansion of the sustainable population is the result of innovations and improvements largely brought about by self-interested individuals whose work frees people from sustenance labor, permitting further division of labor and a larger sustainable population.  Socialistic policies, while professing to aid the general populace (and, in some cases, actually doing so), create disincentives for individuals to innovate, which, in the end, result in a slower expansion of the "6 billion" number, which, in my opinion, offsets the short-term gains we see.

I don't know enough about the market to make a strong case for the reasons behind the current situation, but I can speculate--investors are probably exercising a bit of caution right now, so that, even after the bailout, their perception of the market has not returned to its condition before this whole mess got started.  Market drops are quick; rebuilds take more time, as investors who lost money take less risks for a while, until they think things are back on track.

grampster

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2008, 02:43:03 PM »
Fifty years from now, all the evidence will be in: the markets were manipulated to create a panic to enhance the appeal of Barak Hussein Obama.


Ding, ding, ding, ding.  Step up to the podium to get your prize.
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K Frame

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2008, 08:56:16 AM »
"Fifty years from now, all the evidence will be in: the markets were manipulated to create a panic to enhance the appeal of Barak Hussein Obama."

Oh, it's not going to take that long.

Obama is going to, in his inaugural address, tell everyone in best LOL Cat English: 'I wuz in yerz 401kz, flushin yerz dollarz"

Right...  :rolleyes:
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longeyes

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2008, 12:18:20 PM »
The stock market is just looking at the future, which is a combination of gradually accumulating economic convulsion due to various missteps over many years and the prospect of a hard leftist in the White House backed by a Dem Congress.  The sum total of "money," especially big and smart money, is indicating Major Problems Ahead.

I think there's plenty of pro-Obama manipulation going on but I don't think that's the reason the markets--and not just here but everywere--are in the tank.
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grampster

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2008, 01:41:19 PM »
Whether you want to believe it or not...the American economy drives the world economy.  Machinations that disturb how Americans view things, be they economic, political et al, causes ripples throughout the world.

Our government economic policy regarding lending and credit pushed mostly by liberals and statists has come home to roost. Throw in the MSM media's constant negative reportage on the economy in order to boost the democrats.  Understand how many IRA's and 401k's and other investment tools that are out there, contrary to reports that Americans don't save.  Mix that all up with a presidential election year.   In addition we have a two fronted war that should have united Americans, but rather divided them because of the leftist media and the fact that leftists control our schools and many of our other institutions like churches.

All of the above creates the toxic mix that we have.  Was this a conspiracy?  I doubt it.  But it is the culmination of the wildest dream come true for the far left wing radicals that came out of the 60's and 70's.  The sad thing is that the American people have been so propagandized into the lie of that left wing so wholeheartedly, that they are willing to abandon the party that is the closest to the political heart of America, to punish that party.  Shamefully that party, to a certain extent deserves that abandonment.  A classic case of cutting of one's nose to spite one's face all the way around imho.
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longeyes

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Re: The Stock Market and the Election
« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2008, 08:52:38 PM »
Quote
All of the above creates the toxic mix that we have.  Was this a conspiracy?  I doubt it.  But it is the culmination of the wildest dream come true for the far left wing radicals that came out of the 60's and 70's.  The sad thing is that the American people have been so propagandized into the lie of that left wing so wholeheartedly, that they are willing to abandon the party that is the closest to the political heart of America, to punish that party.  Shamefully that party, to a certain extent deserves that abandonment.  A classic case of cutting of one's nose to spite one's face all the way around imho.

The things that got us here can be traced.  What really may have undone the American people is their innate decency, the inability to say a HARD NO to the b.s., the self-victimizing, and the entitlement-minded.  Some people will call the decency just apathy or cowardice, but I suspect it is more complex than that.  At some point "people pleasing" got called compassion, and the rest is history.
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