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Main Forums => Politics => Topic started by: just Warren on June 09, 2013, 03:21:37 PM

Title: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: just Warren on June 09, 2013, 03:21:37 PM
http://news.yahoo.com/nicaragua-canal-fast-tracked-chinese-boost-173611883.html


I'm all for increased trade of course but with these two involved I can foresee some shenanigans.



Wiki provides the basics of the history of various canal proposals: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicaragua_Canal
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 09, 2013, 05:14:55 PM
I believe, IIRC, a lot of years ago there was talk of building a sea level canal across one of those Banana Republics.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Regolith on June 09, 2013, 05:21:40 PM
I believe, IIRC, a lot of years ago there was talk of building a sea level canal across one of those Banana Republics.

A man, a plan, a canal - Panama!
Title: Re: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: makattak on June 09, 2013, 10:57:37 PM
If I remember correctly, Nicaragua already had a competing canal that took advantage of Lake Nicaragua. Vanderbilt built it and then, Nicaragua,  being Nicaragua, collapsed, accepted bribes, and basically destroyed their chance to be a commercial center.

Maybe it will go better this time.

(Please note, I simplified the episode for brevity's sake)

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I337 using Tapatalk 2
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: CNYCacher on June 10, 2013, 08:46:33 AM
I believe, IIRC, a lot of years ago there was talk of building a sea level canal across one of those Banana Republics.

Like, without locks?
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: AZRedhawk44 on June 10, 2013, 08:50:42 AM
Destroying a transportation monopoly.  Hmm.  Interesting.

Might we see moar wars, police actions and international incidents down that way as a result of this?
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 10, 2013, 10:20:57 AM
Like, without locks?

Perzactly!

A man, a plan, a canal - Panama!

Not sea level. Has locks on both ends! Been there! =D
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: CNYCacher on June 10, 2013, 10:28:16 AM
Perzactly!

Wow. Even with a relatively low country, that's a huge excavation.


I wonder what kind of flow the tides would cause.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 10, 2013, 10:36:02 AM
Wow. Even with a relatively low country, that's a huge excavation.


I wonder what kind of flow the tides would cause.

I don't know. The Suez is sea level and I don't believe that's a problem there, although the tides in the Mediterranean Sea and the Red Sea are probably a bit different than the Pacific and the Atlantic.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Tallpine on June 10, 2013, 11:53:57 AM
Wouldn't the tides on both sides of an isthmus be on the same schedule  ???

Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Scout26 on June 10, 2013, 11:55:26 AM
IIRC, the reason for the locks is not tides, but that one ocean is somewhat higher than the other.

Edit:  Correction, it had to do with how deep to cut into the rock across the isthmus.    I'm guessing that cutting across Nicaragua at sea level will be quite the undertaking.  


Panama Canal - 51 miles from deep water to deep water.  Average toll $54,000, and ~15,000 vessels per year pass through, that's roughly $810 million per year. 

Nicaragua - 130 miles, 11 years to build at a cost $40 Billion+ dollars.  Presuming that it takes simply takes all the business from the Panama Canal and charges the same price, (it won't, but it will allow larger ships, so to make the math simple) that is a 50 year ROI.   Yes, the Chinese are known to take the long view.
 
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: AZRedhawk44 on June 10, 2013, 12:06:09 PM
I wonder what the flora and fauna implications have been with the first Panama Canal.  Tropical warm water species that have been separated for eons and evolved separately, are now able to prey upon one another or breed with one another again.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Tallpine on June 10, 2013, 12:10:27 PM
IIRC, the reason for the locks is not tides, but that one ocean is somewhat higher than the other.

Edit:  Correction, it had to do with how deep to cut into the rock across the isthmus.    I'm guessing that cutting across Nicaragua at sea level will be quite the undertaking.  


Panama Canal - 51 miles from deep water to deep water.

Nicaragua - 130 miles and $40 Billion+ dollars.
 

For the first time, det cord is not the solution  =(
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 10, 2013, 12:25:51 PM

Presuming that it takes simply takes all the business from the Panama Canal and charges the same price, (it won't, but it will allow larger ships, so to make the math simple) that is a 50 year ROI.

At this time, the Panama is constructing new locks which will allow for larger ships to transit.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: roo_ster on June 10, 2013, 02:29:58 PM
Wow. Even with a relatively low country, that's a huge excavation.


I wonder what kind of flow the tides would cause.

Something fierce, I suspect.  Think of it as a straw with a funnel on each end and the tide as pouring a bit of water into each funnel.  No big whoop at the outer tip fo the funnel.  Something different at the straw.

Isn;t there video od such tidal forces on nordic fjords?

Also, seas at different levels on either coasts.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 10, 2013, 02:37:57 PM
I wonder what the flora and fauna implications have been with the first Panama Canal.  Tropical warm water species that have been separated for eons and evolved separately, are now able to prey upon one another or breed with one another again.

Probably not much commingling of species due to the fact inland of the locks is all fresh water. :P
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: AZRedhawk44 on June 10, 2013, 02:40:50 PM
Probably not much commingling of species due to the fact inland of the locks is all fresh water. :P

I did not know that.  I thought the canal was a trench across the land and had no interface with any river systems.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: makattak on June 10, 2013, 02:48:33 PM
I did not know that.  I thought the canal was a trench across the land and had no interface with any river systems.

Yep, river artificially dammed to include a lake as well.

I'd be interested to know just how much salinity the lake has now due to the ocean traffic.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: roo_ster on June 10, 2013, 02:57:58 PM
Yep, river artificially dammed to include a lake as well.

I'd be interested to know just how much salinity the lake has now due to the ocean traffic.

It is the other way around.  Freshwater from the lake is used to fill the locks and then goes out to sea.  Silly amounts of rainfall make that reasonable.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: cordex on June 10, 2013, 03:02:23 PM
I'd be interested to know just how much salinity the lake has now due to the ocean traffic.
http://www.pancanal.com/esp/plan/estudios/0121.pdf
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: makattak on June 10, 2013, 03:04:23 PM
It is the other way around.  Freshwater from the lake is used to fill the locks and then goes out to sea.  Silly amounts of rainfall make that reasonable.

So it appears. I was interested enough to look up the information myself:

http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA378475

From the paper, there is minimal salt intrusion to the lake, estimated at .03 parts per trillion; well below acceptable drinking water level at .25 parts per trillion. (For comparison, the Pacific is 35 parts per trillion and the ocean water directly outside of the locks is 10 parts per trillion.)

It seems they knew what they were doing 100 years ago.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: makattak on June 10, 2013, 03:05:03 PM
http://www.pancanal.com/esp/plan/estudios/0121.pdf

The copy I linked is a better scan. :P
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: CNYCacher on June 10, 2013, 03:06:08 PM
I did not know that.  I thought the canal was a trench across the land and had no interface with any river systems.

Locks don't generally need pumps.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: AZRedhawk44 on June 10, 2013, 03:18:22 PM
They could use a lot less fresh water, if they used an air-inflatable "bed" under the lock.

Deflate the bed.
Put the ship in position in the lock.
Close the entry doors.
Inflate the bed, which raises the water level to be even with the upper doors.
Open the upper doors.  You get salt/fresh water comingling, but not that big of a deal since there's going to be natural downhill flow at the locks anyways.


Take a hell of an air compressor to do that every day for dozens of transits, but it would use less water.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: CNYCacher on June 10, 2013, 03:44:12 PM
Water's free. Comes from sky.
Title: Re: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: cassandra and sara's daddy on June 10, 2013, 04:21:03 PM
The new locks are different.  Use a tank/reservoir in order to
 use same water rather than depleting lake.curse you discovery channel
 

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I997 using Tapatalk 2
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 10, 2013, 05:52:43 PM
Yep, river artificially dammed to include a lake as well.

I'd be interested to know just how much salinity the lake has now due to the ocean traffic.

In fact, a majority of the transit is accomplished on said Gatun Lake.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Tallpine on June 10, 2013, 06:54:42 PM
Water's free. Comes from sky.

Flows downhill  :cool:
Title: Re: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 10, 2013, 07:37:14 PM
The new locks are different.  Use a tank/reservoir in order to
 use same water rather than depleting lake.curse you discovery channel
 

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I997 using Tapatalk 2

In addition, they are raising the lake level 1.5 feet. That's a lot of water!
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Scout26 on June 10, 2013, 07:37:45 PM
Lake Nicaragua is 107ft above sea level, so highly doubtful they'll have a lock free canal.

But they solved the piracy problem.  ;)
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: stevelyn on June 11, 2013, 08:02:33 AM
Destroying a transportation monopoly.  Hmm.  Interesting.

Might we see moar wars, police actions and international incidents down that way as a result of this?

I hope the hell not. I've aquired a taste for Nicarauguan handmade cigars and any threats to my supply is going to irritate me.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Scout26 on June 11, 2013, 11:41:56 AM
Actually it may drive down the cost of shipping.  Competition is always a good thing.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 11, 2013, 03:02:50 PM
Actually it may drive down the cost of shipping.  Competition is always a good thing.

Leave it to an APS'er to look at the financial benefits! =D
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: AZRedhawk44 on June 11, 2013, 03:07:21 PM
Actually it may drive down the cost of shipping.  Competition is always a good thing.

Of course, us consumers think that.

The canal is currently at 100% capacity to my understanding, but Panama probably greatly enjoys that 100% capacity and the fact that there's no competition to drive down the X cost per ship-ton they charge to send a ship through the canal.

Panama would still remain the preferred canal since it's shorter and would have fewer locks, but if it costs half as much to go through Nicaragua and takes another 12-18 hours above whatever it takes to go through Panama... I can't help but think it would suck away at least some of the Panama traffic and also drive down rates for traversing. 

And if they somehow increase the size of ships able to traverse (i.e. "Panamax" is smaller than "Nicamax") then Nicaragua would become the dominant choice as new ships are produced to fit the new locks.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Sergeant Bob on June 11, 2013, 09:43:27 PM
And if they somehow increase the size of ships able to traverse (i.e. "Panamax" is smaller than "Nicamax") then Nicaragua would become the dominant choice as new ships are produced to fit the new locks.

The new locks on the Panama canal will handle larger than "Panamax" ships.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: cassandra and sara's daddy on June 11, 2013, 10:04:07 PM
http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/4212183
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: Balog on June 12, 2013, 11:45:50 AM
Panamax and Nicamax sound like low budget cable pron channels.
Title: Re: Nicaragua and China team up to build canal.
Post by: birdman on June 12, 2013, 11:02:20 PM
Water's free. Comes from sky.

Especially in panama.