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Main Forums => Politics => Topic started by: K Frame on March 09, 2018, 08:41:50 AM

Title: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: K Frame on March 09, 2018, 08:41:50 AM
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/democrats-heading-toward-big-losses-154500875.html

This is sounding as if it could be a real problem for the Dems.
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: RocketMan on March 09, 2018, 10:45:56 PM
Having a hard time believing this, given the results of many special elections at all levels across the country in the last year.  Even some hard red seats that were considered safe have flipped.  Democrat momentum is pretty strong.  Or Democrat cheating is pretty strong.  Or both.
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: Firethorn on March 09, 2018, 10:51:57 PM
Having a hard time believing this, given the results of many special elections at all levels across the country in the last year.  Even some hard red seats that were considered safe have flipped.  Democrat momentum is pretty strong.  Or Democrat cheating is pretty strong.  Or both.

From what I've seen, that's usually because the republican candidate is just that bad.  Don't forget that the minority party usually gains seats during midterms.  Especially if the president is unpopular.  Trump's popularity is... interesting.
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: French G. on March 10, 2018, 08:31:57 AM
Well it is interesting that the number of seats up for election is almost all D. So there is no upside for them, no chance to flip the Senate. With that in mind I bet the weakest senators get forgotten by the money machine and all the cash, smearing, and poo flinging gets awarded to any house candidate that looks like they can flip a seat.
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: MechAg94 on March 10, 2018, 08:32:35 AM
Having a hard time believing this, given the results of many special elections at all levels across the country in the last year.  Even some hard red seats that were considered safe have flipped.  Democrat momentum is pretty strong.  Or Democrat cheating is pretty strong.  Or both.
All I remember is the state elections in Virginia and then Alabama.  There were 2 or 3 others that the Republican won handily earlier in the year.  I really don't think those reflected on anything but the local races.  The negatives on the R candidate were fairly large if I remember.
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: MechAg94 on March 10, 2018, 08:37:21 AM
IMO, the Dems are still selling the same stuff that Hilary talked about and they are doubling down on gun control.  If the R candidate doesn't suck, I think they have a decent chance of winning in most states.  I guess it depends on what the mood is in those states.  Some of those seats will be in heavily Democrat states so the Republican has an uphill battle anyway.
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: grampster on March 10, 2018, 09:09:18 AM
Well, Forbes just published an article that the Dems are going to be running in 2018 on a platform of RAISING taxes.  Top rate to go to 39%, corporate tax to increase to 25%, the alternate minimum tax to apply to lower income levels and therefore to be raised, and a doubling of the death tax. 

Maybe the D's will join the R's and be known as the Stupid Party II. 
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: HankB on March 10, 2018, 07:14:42 PM
Just remember, R's have a talent for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. A lot of the "R" swamp dwellers would much rather hand a seat to a "D" rather than a maverick "R."
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: Scout26 on March 10, 2018, 07:20:51 PM
All I remember is the state elections in Virginia and then Alabama.  There were 2 or 3 others that the Republican won handily earlier in the year.  I really don't think those reflected on anything but the local races.  The negatives on the R candidate were fairly large if I remember.

Virginia Governor went from Democrat controlled to Democrat controlled.  So that was "no change" that the D's hailed as a huge victory.

In Alabama, it was the worst possible R candidate against a D cypher, who only had to NOT get caught naked with a dead woman or a live boy, to win.    Not a huge upset.   It will swing back to R at the next election.  
Title: Re: This is interesting... current predictions on mid-term Senate elections...
Post by: MikeB on March 10, 2018, 07:53:20 PM
Virginia Governor went from Democrat controlled to Democrat controlled.  So that was "no change" that the D's hailed as a huge victory.

In Alabama, it was the worst possible R candidate against a D cypher, who only had to NOT get caught naked with a dead woman or a live boy, to win.    Not a huge upset.   It will swing back to R at the next election.  

Yeah. Roy Moore barely even won the last election he was in prior to that special election. He only won the primary due to 3 way split in the R side. He wasn’t popular to begin with. The media have hyped those wins as bigger than they are.