Armed Polite Society
Main Forums => Politics => Topic started by: Perd Hapley on October 11, 2022, 09:41:49 PM
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Kari Lake had a good day on the trail.
https://youtu.be/zRPKB9Xf5TE?t=93
That red wave may still be on the horizon, even if it's not a tsunami.
https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/the-red-wave-gathers/?utm_source=blog-landing&utm_medium=desktop&utm_campaign=continue-reading
https://hotair.com/john-s-2/2022/10/11/allan-fung-has-a-real-shot-at-flipping-a-blue-house-seat-in-rhode-island-n502625
Allan Fung has a real shot at flipping a blue House seat in Rhode Island
Even Big Media is admitting that Fetterman is having serious problems.
https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2022/10/11/fetterman-ive-recovered-pretty-well-now-nbc-er-no-hes-not-n502563
But back to Arizona:
https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-katie-hobbs-who-wont-debate-kari-lake-says-i-dont-want-to-talk-politics-to-anyone-i-dont-know
The Veritas journalist asks, "Would Katie [Hobbs] support something like an assault weapons ban?" to which Wolf says, "If she could, yeah. ...."
Wolf was later heard in a car saying Hobbs is protected by an AR-15 between campaign stops.
Veritas' video features Hobbs expressing extreme discomfort when asked by an Uber driver what she does for a living, saying "I was like, ‘Uh, I work for a campaign.’ I don’t know why I said that -- I just didn’t want to have this conversation. And he’s like, ‘Oh, Kari Lake?’ And I was like, ‘F**k no!’ I don’t want to talk to you. I don’t want to talk politics to anyone who I don’t know."
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Well I haven't gotten the results back yet, but the midterm was yesterday and it wasn't too hard. I'm feeling a 95%.
...Oh wait, politics? Eww.
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Supposedly Patty Murray (D senator in WA) is in a tight race with Tiffany Smiley. Lastest polls have it down to 2-3 points. There hasn’t been a statewide Republican election winner in WA in a very long time. But, we went 100% vote by mail at least 15 years ago, so I have little doubt they’ll find all the Murray votes they need in Seattle one way or another.
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But, we went 100% vote by mail at least 15 years ago, so I have little doubt they’ll find all the Murray votes they need in Seattle one way or another.
In other words the votes are picked up, handled, and then delivered by a company/govt agency/whatever that's controlled by a union openly hostile to any candidate with an R next to their name.
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We'll see how many "lost" ballots they can fit into that station wagon.
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We'll see how many "lost" ballots they can fit into that station wagon.
Only as many as they need, WLJ, only as many as they need.
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Only as many as they need, WLJ, only as many as they need.
Exactly. They're not extremists, like those filthy Republicans.
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https://babylonbee.com/news/democrats-accuse-ghostbusters-of-voter-intimidation
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Democrat pledges to "never stop standing up for Big Pharma and standing against my constituents." =D
https://twitter.com/RNCResearch/status/1580561576335122433?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1580561576335122433%7Ctwgr%5E075e229702f1bce05d60f474077f348cbe869696%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fhotair.com%2Fheadlines%2F2022%2F10%2F13%2Fhouse-dem-courageously-pledges-to-continue-standing-against-my-constituents-n503049
AOC blasted for starting a nuclear war.
https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2022/10/13/why-are-you-playing-with-our-lives-aoc-just-absolutely-wrecked-at-her-own-event-by-her-own-supporter-over-nuclear-war-watch/I
More blowback for Hobbs:
https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2022/10/13/train-wreck-katie-hobbs-in-such-a-hurry-to-run-from-project-veritas-reporter-she-makes-huge-mess-then-hides-in-bathroom-watch/
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Based on the Congressional TV ads in the Seattle area, the upcoming election is two issues only: abortion and inflation. No ads about guns, foreign policy, immigration or anything else. Are people seeing anything different in your areas?
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As of 10-11-2022, five thirty eight has Murray at 50.4% and Smiley at 40.6% for the Washington senate race. Murray is very popular in metropolitan Puget Sound and that is the region who decides statewide races in Washington.
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Based on the Congressional TV ads in the Seattle area, the upcoming election is two issues only: abortion and inflation. No ads about guns, foreign policy, immigration or anything else. Are people seeing anything different in your areas?
I'm only seeing Youtube ads, having cut out advertising from just about every facet of my life other than that. But I see a lot of hammering against Blake Masters here over his dislike of abortion, his stance against Federal Agents of just about any type, his support for "extreme" gun rights, and dislike of the Patriot Act.
Sounds like a pretty decent guy. I'd buy him a beer. Still not gonna vote for him, or anyone else, though.
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I've also only seen youtube ads, but here in Idaho the senate incumbent message seems to be Brandon and his ties to inflation and the border (we apparently have a big fentanyl problem here via the border).
No dems here have a chance in hell of winning, or even making a respectable showing, so there are really no lefty hot button issues being brought up.
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I've also only seen youtube ads, but here in Idaho the senate incumbent message seems to be Brandon and his ties to inflation and the border (we apparently have a big fentanyl problem here via the border).
No dems here have a chance in hell of winning, or even making a respectable showing, so there are really no lefty hot button issues being brought up.
About the opposite here. I wish SWMBO was willing to move. Maybe once her extended family starts dying off, if we have kids (especially ones generating plenty of grandkids) in red states she’ll be more open to such a move.
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Bias much?
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/14/ny-times-framing-of-wisconsin-johnson-barnes-senate-debate-just-reeks-of-unbiased-journalism/
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FfB-LHMVQAAtXNV?format=jpg&name=small)
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Every time you think they can't get lower...
Wasn't Barnes caught lying about who endorsed him, and about his position on law enforcement?
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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/15/us/politics/kotek-drazan-oregon-governor.html
It would be astonishing if Oregon elected a Republican governor. There is a real chance they may do so.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/15/us/politics/kotek-drazan-oregon-governor.html
It would be astonishing if Oregon elected a Republican governor. There is a real chance they may do so.
Oregon is 100% vote by mail. Any election to an office of consequence will go to the Democrat.
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Well, I'm carrying an 86% in economics and a 95% in world history, but geometry is pulling me down with a 74%.
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Here in Ohio, we have a Senate fight for an open seat, JD Vance (R) vs. Tim Ryan (D). Tim Ryan is running a campaign holding himself out as a centrist, even touting his support for some Trump trade policies while in the House. The Dems are going after Vance based on his beinga rich dude who left Ohio to start a business in California that failed, so he crawled back to Ohio. Vance is touting his being a Marine vet and a Trump Republican, going after Ryan as a Pelosi/Schumer supporter.
Polls show it being a dead heat.
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So we now have reason to believe the stroke victim running for the Senate is being run by his wife. Rolling Stone tried to defend her for her unhinged attack on a reporter, but let slip that she's the "de facto candidate." Also, some tweets surfaced, where she brags about being "the brains of the operation."
https://redstate.com/bonchie/2022/10/15/journalist-rushes-to-delete-inconvenient-truth-about-john-fetterman-and-his-wife-n643528
IOW, John Fetterman is Democrat presidential material.
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What the heck is that HUGE lump on the back of
Fetterman's Fetterwoman's neck on the right side? Tumor? Lipoma? Cyst?
Win or lose, I'm half expecting him to turn up on the Dr. Pimple Popper TV show sometime after the election.
He is not a well man, and is clearly not up to the rigors of being a U.S. Senator. (There are others in office who are also not up to it for health reasons . . . which is part of the explanation for why we have so many unsolved problems.)
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What the heck is that HUGE lump on the back of Fetterman's Fetterwoman's neck on the right side? Tumor? Lipoma? Cyst?
(https://preview.redd.it/e46bsqgp2ho91.jpg?auto=webp&s=cdd5a66ecc35b92c607f79bb5fcb96c3cf6bc789)
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WATCH: Pres. Joe Biden arrives in Orange County, California and receives a “Let’s Go Brandon” welcome from Trump supporters
https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1581677929465262080?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1581677929465262080%7Ctwgr%5Ec2013b75a8068e99dda67e8d5d830efd955b2830%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fsaltmustflow.com%2Fpureblood-chucks-a-covid-zombie%2F
In California. Some bad language in the background. Not all white people either as some would have you think.
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https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/
If the “red wave” washes out a lot of Democrats in November, there will be a lot of justified finger-pointing at the president, and recriminations about whether the “Inflation Reduction Act” would be more accurately called the “Democrat Reduction Act.”
From his lips keyboard to God's ears feed.
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This is interesting... Over the past couple of weeks the e-mails I've been getting from the Dems have taken on a considerably different tone...
They've started to sound almost desperate, and several have mentioned tightening poll numbers and significant drops in donations to their campaigns. A couple have even mentioned failing to hit targets in their most recent donation drives. I can't recall ever seeing Dem e-mails saying that before, and certainly not from multiple candidates.
Tim Ryan said his most recent income drive fell quite flat.
Elaine Luria is saying that she's having to come off the campaign trail and things are pointing to a steep drop in income.
Mark Kelly is sounding a similar tone.
These aren't the general "please give money so that we can keep the unborn infant death toll staggeringly high and pay for little Timmy's degree in underwater basket weaving because colleges and college loans are predatory," a lot of them are taking on a tone of desperation I've not seen in campaign literature before.
I like that trend.
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Hoping it's a good sign they're already placing blame
Hint: OPEC
NY Mag gives Democrats a blame game assist for possible midterm wipeout (Hint: NOT the Dems’ fault)
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/17/ny-mag-gives-democrats-a-blame-game-assist-for-possible-midterm-wipeout-hint-not-the-dems-fault/
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Great... I just got an e-mail from Ken Burns the documentary guy.
Now he's stumping for Mark Kelly and begging me to give money to be split between him and some other ahole.
Shove your Civil War up your ass until it comes out your 9th inning.
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Be interesting to see IF the GOP does win big if many dems try to give the appearance of moving to the real world middle of the political spectrum afterwards for 2024.
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CNBC poll saying that the GOP is leading big on economic issues in the polls.
Hopefully that will translate into wins come election day.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/20/gop-holds-big-leads-on-key-economic-issues-ahead-of-the-november-elections-cnbc-survey-shows.html
Interesting to note that Biden's approval ratings have gone up, but mainly because "While they were the president’s best numbers since 2021, the improvement came largely from increased Democratic support. Approval by independents on the economy remained unchanged from the prior poll at just 25%."
But, according to the email I got from that reprehensible cocksplat Gary Peters in Michigan -- "Joe's approval ratings are SURGING!"
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But, according to the email I got from that reprehensible cocksplat Gary Peters in Michigan -- "Joe's approval ratings are SURGING!"
And every time I fart there's a hurricane
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Be interesting to see IF the GOP does win big if many dems try to give the appearance of moving to the real world middle of the political spectrum afterwards for 2024.
It'll be real interesting to see IF the Repubs win big how quickly "Election Denier" becomes a virtuous position that upholds Democracy.
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Hoping it's a good sign they're already placing blame
Hint: OPEC
NY Mag gives Democrats a blame game assist for possible midterm wipeout (Hint: NOT the Dems’ fault)
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/17/ny-mag-gives-democrats-a-blame-game-assist-for-possible-midterm-wipeout-hint-not-the-dems-fault/
Why would they help Biden when the Democrats are back negotiating with Iran? There is no consistent foreign policy with this administration beyond graft. Makes me almost miss Hilary Clinton and her reset button. At least she was just a self serving idiot.
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It'll be real interesting to see IF the Repubs win big how quickly "Election Denier" becomes a virtuous position that upholds Democracy.
Already is. Stacey Abrams.
According to MSNBC, she hasn't denied the outcome of the Georgia Governor's election, she has shown a spotlight on the right's repression of voting rights of... someone!
That's noble! That's incredible! That's wonderful!
I wonder what they're going to say this time around when she loses again, especially given early voting numbers are showing HUGE increases in participation of the groups that she claims the right has completely cut out of the electoral process.
Must be her noble efforts have overwhelmed the evil whitey righty.
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Already is. Stacey Abrams.
According to MSNBC, she hasn't denied the outcome of the Georgia Governor's election, she has shown a spotlight on the right's repression of voting rights of... someone!
That's noble! That's incredible! That's wonderful!
I wonder what they're going to say this time around when she loses again, especially given early voting numbers are showing HUGE increases in participation of the groups that she claims the right has completely cut out of the electoral process.
Must be her noble efforts have overwhelmed the evil whitey righty.
I was going to say already been. She and some others have never stopped.
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Already is. Stacey Abrams.
Georgia just had record turnout of mail-in ballots with their new "repressive" voting laws, and she's at the forefront of yelling about the voter repression (with lots of help from MSNBC).
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Georgia just had record turnout of mail-in ballots with their new "repressive" voting laws, and she's at the forefront of yelling about the voter repression (with lots of help from MSNBC).
Uhm... yeah. I said that. Pretty much exactly that.
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They only stopped talking about the stolen election of 2016 to talk about the perfectly legal and correct election of 2020 then the Jan 6 nonsense. I am sure they will shift gears within hours if this election doesn't go their way. The activists on that side have no shame and don't care at all if what they say today contradicts what they said yesterday.
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I am sure they will shift gears within hours if this election doesn't go their way. The activists on that side have no shame and don't care at all if what they say today contradicts what they said yesterday.
And the sheep happily and without question herd in whatever direction they're told to
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Uhm... yeah. I said that. Pretty much exactly that.
I don't pay attention to dead guys...
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I don't pay attention to dead guys...
Do they have to dead first? :rofl:
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x0EciGI6KCc
Polls Predict Red Wave After Women Flip By 32 Points To GOP
Timcast IRL
Had trouble finding this earlier. Just for consideration.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x0EciGI6KCc
Polls Predict Red Wave After Women Flip By 32 Points To GOP
Timcast IRL
Had trouble finding this earlier. Just for consideration.
What is a woman?
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x0EciGI6KCc
Polls Predict Red Wave After Women Flip By 32 Points To GOP
Timcast IRL
Had trouble finding this earlier. Just for consideration.
Those numbers mean nothing considering that there are 59% fewer women in existence than there were in 2016. Those missing women are now trans-men.
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"Are we secretly laughing because we know Republicans aren't going to do anything if they are elected?"
Holy crap, truer words have never been spoken.
I'm STILL furious that Republicans spent almost a decade screeching about Obamacare and when they finally regained the ability, they not only dropped the ball, they tripped over it, face planted AND *expletive deleted*it their pants. :mad:
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"Are we secretly laughing because we know Republicans aren't going to do anything if they are elected?"
Holy crap, truer words have never been spoken.
I'm STILL furious that Republicans spent almost a decade screeching about Obamacare and when they finally regained the ability, they not only dropped the ball, they tripped over it, face planted AND *expletive deleted*it their pants. :mad:
They're conservatives which means they believe in tradition
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Yes. The GOP in Congress will do absolutely nothing meaningfully conservative. Just like (almost) always.
Are they going to win the House and / or the Senate? What difference is it going to make? They aren't going to pass any laws that I really care about.
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Yes. The GOP in Congress will do absolutely nothing meaningfully conservative. Just like (almost) always.
Are they going to win the House and / or the Senate? What difference is it going to make? They aren't going to pass any laws that I really care about.
Or repeal any
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So we now have reason to believe the stroke victim running for the Senate is being run by his wife. Rolling Stone tried to defend her for her unhinged attack on a reporter, but let slip that she's the "de facto candidate." Also, some tweets surfaced, where she brags about being "the brains of the operation."
https://redstate.com/bonchie/2022/10/15/journalist-rushes-to-delete-inconvenient-truth-about-john-fetterman-and-his-wife-n643528
IOW, John Fetterman is Democrat presidential material.
About that
Seung Min Kim
@seungminkim
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Follow
Biden, in Pittsburgh, to @giselefetterman:
"Gisele, you’re going to be a great, great lady in the Senate."
1:44 PM · Oct 20, 2022
The Rolling Stone reporter who deleted a tweet calling Gisele Fetterman the “de facto candidate” was apparently right all along.
Whoops! Biden just said the quiet part out loud to Gisele Fetterman
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/20/whoops-biden-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud-to-gisele-fetterman/
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Mehmet Oz Now Running Neck And Neck And Neck With John Fetterman
https://babylonbee.com/news/mehmet-oz-now-running-neck-and-neck-and-neck-with-john-fetterman
(https://media.babylonbee.com/articles/6351acedcce7b6351acedcce7c.jpg)
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I've noticed Dem ads have been crediting their individual candidates with passage of acts for our benefit as if the individual candidate "gave us" thus and so tax break or whatever and so on. Not "sponsored" or "supported," but phrased as if they alone did the good deed. First time I ever heard this technique. Is this going on all over, or is it just Colorado?
Seems kinda underhanded to me. Well, misleading anyhow.
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I'll see dozens of candidates start to use the same phrasing on stuff within an hour or so... They've got folks in Washington pushing the narratives HARD.
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https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/patty-murray-still-leads-but-tiffany-smiley-closes-gap-in-new-wa-poll/
The Washington state Senate race is shaping up to be the closest race in many years.
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So many of the folks claiming there is going to be a "red wave" are supporting their predictions citing the many races where the Republican is "closing the gap". Closing the gap means nothing. There will be no red wave if the Republican challengers don't actually surpass their Democrat opponents by a substantial amount in polling.
While there are some, I've not seen that many races where the R candidate is actually ahead of the Democrat by a meaningful amount. The R's might take the House this go around, but likely not by a large margin, and they certainly won't gain a super majority.
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Repubs +2 in the senate and probably at least +30 House. And then they will piss it away with show legislation they know will get vetoed and circus hearings and otherwise pandering to "their base."
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Chris Hayes
@chrislhayes
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Follow
I think it's very hard to communicate to the median voter convincingly the chaos that a GOP victory is likely to unleash, and I think a lot of professionals vastly underestimate the tail risk.
Chris Hayes is worried about the chaos that might interrupt the chaos of the Biden presidency if the GOP wins
https://twitchy.com/fuzzychimp-313137/2022/10/21/chris-hayes-is-worried-about-the-chaos-that-might-interrupt-the-chaos-of-the-biden-presidency-if-the-gop-wins/
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Heard a couple of short blurbs about Mitch McConnell allegedly trying hard to make some specific R candidates lose.
Mitt Romney too.
:mad:
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Repubs +2 in the senate and probably at least +30 House. And then they will piss it away with show legislation they know will get vetoed and circus hearings and otherwise pandering to "their base."
Yep, Democrats slip crap into spending bills and such all the time. Republicans rarely do that. I assume too many establishment R's just don't want to.
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Heard a couple of short blurbs about Mitch McConnell allegedly trying hard to make some specific R candidates lose.
I'm not suprised, but where?
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I'm not suprised, but where?
Possibly here:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/mcconnell-aligned-super-pac-pulls-money-new-hampshire-senate-race
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Possibly here:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/mcconnell-aligned-super-pac-pulls-money-new-hampshire-senate-race
Wow, one that could flip easily. Great plan dummy.
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This is at least the third time that McConnell has pulled financial support from a race that could potentially be flipped or won by the Republican candidate. McConnell and the RNC leadership have made their intentions clear: They have no desire for the Republicans to take the Senate.
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FWIW, there are a LOT of people in urban St. Louis who are NOT happy with the current administration.
"bleepers are out of jail if they GET arrested, and they still stealing our cars!"
This may turn out ugly. Then again, it will probably be Democrats who get elected in this machine city, and the majority of them are pretty much just socialists.
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Mitch is beginning to look like the POGO of the GOP: "We have met the enemy and he is us."
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The essential attitude is... "We just got beat, so we NEED FUND RAISING!"
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We have a far left POS, Joe Cunningham, running for governor against the Republican incumbent
He’s desperately trying to attract votes by claiming he’s going to eliminate the state income tax (he does not have the authority to do so). He’s endorsed Biden and Pelosi among numerous despicable lefty *expletive deleted*it.
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Thought there was nothing wrong with our election system? Huh, something must of changed.
JUST IN – Biden admin set to warn about "threats to nation’s election infrastructure" ahead of midterms — an intelligence bulletin is slated to be issued this week, Politico reports.
— Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) October 24, 2022
Biden administration to issue intelligence report on threats to the nation’s election infrastructure
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2022/10/24/biden-administration-to-issue-intelligence-report-on-threats-to-the-nations-election-infrastructure/
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Pre-election Deniers
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There are reports some Republicans might vote for Republicans, meaning election-deniers may elect other election-deniers, who will deny their own election. At the same time, the election-deniers will deny having elected said election-deniers.
At this time, it is unknown whether denial of having voted for an election-denier in an election will or will not be a defense against the charge of having voting for an election-denier in an election.
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DeSantis lays out who "has hate in their hearts."
https://twitter.com/i/status/1584689755182317571
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Forget the midterms, Hillary is already screeching 2024
Serial Election Denier Hillary Is Back and She Has a Warning
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2022/10/25/election-denier-hillary-is-back-and-she-has-a-warning-n2614982
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And the narrative is already out if they lose the Latino vote
AOC complains that Democrats ‘have never tried as a party’ to reach out to Latino voters
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/10/25/aoc-complains-that-democrats-have-never-tried-as-a-party-to-reach-out-to-latino-voters/
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And the narrative is already out if they lose the Latino vote
AOC complains that Democrats ‘have never tried as a party’ to reach out to Latino voters
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/10/25/aoc-complains-that-democrats-have-never-tried-as-a-party-to-reach-out-to-latino-voters/
Send out Jill Biden, stat!
(https://media.istockphoto.com/photos/breakfast-taco-picture-id490455477?s=612x612)
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They're already claiming voter suppression in GA
More than likely means they know they've likely going to lose
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They're already claiming voter suppression in GA
More than likely means they know they've likely going to lose
Well, at least Stacy Abrams will still have the Presidency of United Earth to fall back on.
(https://mediaproxy.salon.com/width/1200/https://media.salon.com/2022/03/star-trek-discovery-still01.jpg)
(That and writing soft-core porn novels.)
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I voted early today. They had a new procedure here involving paper print outs. I don't know if it is required by newer voting laws or something they just did locally.
1. They gave me a slip with a 5 digit code to punch in as well as a blank sheet of paper (with a header).
2. At the electronic voting machine, you insert the paper in the feeder.
3. Punch in your number code and vote electronically like they have been doing it for years here (all touch screen now).
4. Once done, the voting machine prints your votes out on the paper. I could read the votes. I should have taken a photo as I don't remember if there were bar codes or other marks.
5. You then take the paper to feed into a final scanner which reads and records your vote. It keeps the paper.
Not sure how this will work on busier days, but I like the idea that they keep a paper record of votes. Makes it a lot easier to audit the numbers later.
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So I'm pretty sure election tampering like this would demand calls for impeachment if it was a Republican president manipulating things behind the scenes (and consulting dems in congress about it):
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/26/thought-they-had-a-secret-deal-this-would-explain-why-the-biden-wh-was-so-ticked-off-at-the-saudis/
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So I'm pretty sure election tampering like this would demand calls for impeachment if it was a Republican president manipulating things behind the scenes (and consulting dems in congress about it):
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/26/thought-they-had-a-secret-deal-this-would-explain-why-the-biden-wh-was-so-ticked-off-at-the-saudis/
Yeah, I asked that question of all of my Biden puffing Facebook friends the other week when it first came out that he was on his knees begging the Saudis to hold off so as to take some pressure off liberals.
Ask them some very pointed questions why would be considered collusion to affect the outcome of an election... you know, actual collusion, not the fantasy lies dreamed up by Democrats to get Trump.
As them repeatedly to explain it to me.
Not one of those *expletive deleted*ing cowards responded.
Gee, I wonder why.
Reason 274,928,923 why I hate liberals.
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They're already claiming voter suppression in GA
More than likely means they know they've likely going to lose
And people are laughing at them because turn out has surged in virtually every demographic, including the suppressed, repressed, and oppressed GKDPUIOHD+123987 POC, POC+ POC++ and Super POC communities.
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Did you know black people are denied the right to vote? With record turn out it must be true!
MSNBC’s Mehdi Hasan asks if the 2024 election will be free and fair if black people are denied the right to vote
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2022/10/26/msnbcs-mehdi-hasan-asks-if-the-2024-election-will-be-free-and-fair-if-black-people-are-denied-the-right-to-vote/
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Did you know black people are denied the right to vote? With record turn out it must be true!
MSNBC’s Mehdi Hasan asks if the 2024 election will be free and fair if black people are denied the right to vote
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2022/10/26/msnbcs-mehdi-hasan-asks-if-the-2024-election-will-be-free-and-fair-if-black-people-are-denied-the-right-to-vote/
Obviously, if Republicans win the midterms, we'll enact the Secret Plan. The one where Donald Trump and Mike Pence (and Putin, natch) install Mitt Romney as Lord Chancellor. And as foretold by the Prophet Joe, he puts them back in chains.
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This here tickled my giggler.
https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2022/10/27/katie-hobbs-wrecked-for-blaming-kari-lake-and-dangerous-allies-for-break-in-at-her-campaign-hq-lake-responds-and-damn/
There is no need for Kari to pull any ‘stunts’ or try and intimidate her.
Katie has done a fine enough job of intimidating herself already.
:laugh: True.
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She's already losing bigly to a Trumpy candidate, and then this happens.
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/10/27/new-ad-hits-kari-lakes-opponent-katie-hobbs-where-it-could-really-hurt/
[allegation of racism]
No wonder she's been hiding...
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Suspect nabbed in burglary of Democratic campaign office - just a generic creep.
https://www.azfamily.com/2022/10/27/police-identify-suspect-burglary-katie-hobbs-phoenix-campaign-office/
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"Just a test".
Even if it was an inadvertent error ("test" makes no sense unless it's purposeful), considering the large percentage of public sentiment not trusting the media with election data, this is pretty bad PR. If it was a "test" they would have used "candidate A" and "candidate B".
https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2022/10/28/fox-10-phoenix-claims-graphic-showing-hobbs-beating-lake-was-just-a-mistake-and-hello-backfire/
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How'd I miss this?
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/26/kari-lake-updates-hillary-clintons-infamous-2016-tweet-and-suggests-a-great-way-to-celebrate-hrcs-birthday/
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ff-mC41VEAARgTQ?format=jpg&name=large)
:rofl:
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Got a campaign ad for one the local dems. Basically went on on how republicans want to take away our right to vote.
Tomorrow may write Bull *expletive deleted*it on it and mail it back to them
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Democrats are rolling out the "big guns" now...
I got an e-mail from Barbara Streisand begging for money.
I think they're worried. :)
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Candidate arrested for terroristic threats.
https://www.theblaze.com/news/democrat-candidate-in-arkansas-arrested-for-allegedly-making-terroristic-threats
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Dems here say the black guy running for congress critter in my district wants to throw granny out of the home, cancel ss, Medicare, medicaid, stop women from voting or holding a job as well as throwing doctors, nurses, and pregnant women into prison for even considering an abortion.
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Dems here say the black guy running for congress critter in my district wants to throw granny out of the home, cancel ss, Medicare, medicaid, stop women from voting or holding a job as well as throwing doctors, nurses, and pregnant women into prison for even considering an abortion.
What, no fascism?
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What, no fascism?
The D triumvirate of gov, sec state, atty gen got dibs on that slur against their opposition.
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Dems here say the black guy running for congress critter in my district wants to throw granny out of the home, cancel ss, Medicare, medicaid, stop women from voting or holding a job as well as throwing doctors, nurses, and pregnant women into prison for even considering an abortion.
Well, hopefully some of those are true.
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So assuming that the R's do manage some kind of wave next week, what's the over/under on how long it takes the new majority to become Pro War in Europe?
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So assuming that the R's do manage some kind of wave next week, what's the over/under on how long it takes the new majority to become Pro War in Europe?
I'd say about the same for the over/under on how long it takes them to completely and absolutely *expletive deleted*ck up the latest bite at the apple, just as they have every other bite at the apple of power since 1990.
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Apparently the polling firms are conspiring with the GOP...or something
Joy Reid has uncovered an ‘insidious’ GOP plot to use polling firms to create a ‘red wave’ narrative
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/01/joy-reid-has-uncovered-an-insidious-gop-plot-to-use-polling-firms-to-create-a-red-wave-narrative/
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Apparently the polling firms are conspiring with the GOP...or something
Joy Reid has uncovered an ‘insidious’ GOP plot to use polling firms to create a ‘red wave’ narrative
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/01/joy-reid-has-uncovered-an-insidious-gop-plot-to-use-polling-firms-to-create-a-red-wave-narrative/
:rofl:
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If you can't trust half the polls, then what are the other half showing? Are half showing one result and half showing another? Some polls are always skewed away from the others.
I can sympathize with the distrust of polls especially when they think they may be on the losing end of the election (been there). The only thing they said right is to vote for your candidate whether you think they will win or not.
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Latest Fox power rankings say Republicans have a shot at taking both the House and the Senate.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-republicans-expected-control-house-both-parties-hold-pathways-senate
That would be glorious.
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Latest Fox power rankings say Republicans have a shot at taking both the House and the Senate.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-republicans-expected-control-house-both-parties-hold-pathways-senate
That would be glorious.
Probably more likely squandered than glorious…
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Probably more likely squandered than glorious…
Glorious for the waves of Dem tears that it would produce, as well as the screechs of psychotic rage from Joy Reid.
See reply 95 for what the Republicans would actually do.
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as well as the screechs of psychotic rage from Joy Reid.
It would be as everything is with her all about race
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Still some tasty damned tears.
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I do know one thing, if the Rs win questioning elections will suddenly be patriotic again
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I do know one thing, if the Rs win questioning elections will suddenly be patriotic again
Hillary is already doing it.
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Hillary is already doing it.
Yup. She's pretty much come right out and said that if Rs win anywhere or (gasp!) get a majority anywhere, it's because of election fraud.
I am SO glad she never became president. What a harridan.
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Crime is going down under Joe Biden
So has inflation, wink wink
Dr. Pradheep Shanker helpfully fact-checks Joy Behar’s claim about crime ‘going down under Joe Biden’
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/01/dr-pradheep-shanker-helpfully-fact-checks-joy-behars-claim-about-crime-going-down-under-joe-biden/
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Holy crap, the last couple of days the e-mail floodgates have opened...
Message after message after message, every one more hysterical than the previous one, most screeching about "WE DIDN'T MAKE OUR MOST RECENT MONEY GOAL! YOU'VE GOT TO GIVE!"
Then there are the ones that are screeching "THE POLLS JUST DECLARED MY RACE A TOSS UP!!!!"
And all of them are screeching that "REPUBLICAN FASCISTS ARE GOING TO MAKE IT ILLEGAL FOR YOU TO MURDER THE CHILD YOU DON'T WANT, MAKE IT LEGAL FOR YOU TO MURDER THE CRIMINAL WHO ASSAULTS YOU, DESTROY THE ECONOMY, AND MAKE TRUMP PRESIDENT FOR LIFE!!!
"WON'T YOU HELP US PRESERVE DEMOCRACY AND THANK JOE BIDEN FOR LOWERING YOUR GAS PRICES, LOWERING YOUR CRIME RATES, AND PROTECTING YOU FROM FASCISTS?"
I am absolutely LOVING this...
They didn't see it coming in 2016, so it wasn't nearly as amusing.
But now? They know what's coming and they are shitting themselves.
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Libertarian drops out of tight Senate race: endorses Republican.
https://hotair.com/tree-hugging-sister/2022/11/01/libertarian-drops-out-of-az-senate-race-and-possible-gop-house-pick-up-n507192
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The NY Times has, for all intents and purposes, already called the Georgia, Arizona, and Pennsylvania Senate races for the Democrats and with much ballyhooing says that they will keep control of the Senate.
But their last poll in Pennsylvania was done before The Oz - Fetterman debate.
In 2016 they also called the nation for Hillary Clinton... Let's hope that lightning strikes twice and completely fries those self-important twats.
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So Biden is mad at the oil companies for greedily raising their prices. What was Trump doing for 4 years, to keep them from being so greedy?
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The NY Times has, for all intents and purposes, already called the Georgia, Arizona, and Pennsylvania Senate races for the Democrats and with my ballyhooing says that they will keep control of the Senate.
But their last poll in Pennsylvania was done before The Oz - Fetterman debate.
In 2016 they also called the nation for Hillary Clinton... Let's hope that lightning strikes twice and completely fries those self-important twats.
The NYT already has the room booked and the food and drink on order for their Biden 2024 victory party
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Whole lot of projection going on
President Biden tonight at 7pm from Union Station will deliver remarks "on preserving and protecting our democracy." The speech, according to DNC advisory, "will address the threat of election deniers and those who seek to undermine faith in voting and democracy."
— Matt Viser (@mviser) November 2, 2022
KJP: “Mega MAGA Republicans do not believe in the rule of law. They refuse to accept the results of elections and they fan the flames of political violence." pic.twitter.com/W4Pw4gUhI4
— Townhall.com (@townhallcom) November 2, 2022
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/02/ahead-of-bidens-speech-kjp-reminds-us-that-mega-maga-republicans-hate-the-law-and-love-violence/
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Here's Hillary again with basically Voters don't understand what is at stake.
Probably more like they don't like the smell of your bull *expletive deleted*it
Hillary Clinton’s rant about voter ignorance indicates she knows Dems are about to get shellacked
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/11/02/hillary-clintons-rant-about-voter-ignorance-indicates-she-knows-dems-are-about-to-get-shellacked/
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WH deletes tweet after getting busted by citizen fact-checkers (and Elon Musk thinks it’s ‘awesome’)
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/02/wh-deletes-tweet-after-getting-busted-by-citizen-fact-checkers-and-elon-musk-thinks-its-awesome/
Interesting that this happens within 2 weeks of the mid-term election. You didn't see that in the past.
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It would have been better if that had started happening a month before early voting started. But, better now than after the election.
Which reminds me, why the hell do we have a month of “early voting”? For absentee ballots I can see providing them 2-3 weeks or even a month ahead to allow for postal transit to some far flung places. But crap like WA with no option but mail in voting, plus some places allowing voting weeks or a month ahead both invites all kinds of fraud and also denies people learning about some of these issues before they cast their vote.
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I was watching some video about how female voters have swung from 12% Dem to 15% Republican, when it occurred to me: the choice next week is between the party that will let women have an abortion if they get raped, vs the party that will do something to stop rapes from happening. Seems like an obvious choice.
It would have been better if that had started happening a month before early voting started. But, better now than after the election.
Which reminds me, why the hell do we have a month of “early voting”? For absentee ballots I can see providing them 2-3 weeks or even a month ahead to allow for postal transit to some far flung places. But crap like WA with no option but mail in voting, plus some places allowing voting weeks or a month ahead both invites all kinds of fraud and also denies people learning about some of these issues before they cast their vote.
You answered your own question.
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I was watching some video about how female voters have swung from 12% Dem to 15% Republican, when it occurred to me: the choice next week is between the party that will let women have an abortion if they get raped, vs the party that will do something to stop rapes from happening. Seems like an obvious choice.
You answered your own question.
Silly far right MAGA extremist, everyone knows only republicans rape women.
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While I expect Republicans in Congress to continue to be revolting garbage, this is not always the case in the State governments.
Are any of you expecting positive outcomes in individual states?
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While I expect Republicans in Congress to continue to be revolting garbage, this is not always the case in the State governments.
Are any of you expecting positive outcomes in individual states?
We'll do okay here in Idaho. I'm voting Brad Little for Governor again. A lot of conservatives here have a problem with him, but I have found him to be a pretty small government guy, doing things like drastically slashing regulations and letting localities and businesses kind of run themselves. He may not perfectly align with my views, but you can't expect that. He'll do some things that I like and some things that I don't like, but mostly what I like, and he has the creds to push the good stuff through.
One of the things conservatives attacked him for during covid, is saying that he wasn't going to enforce mask rules, letting localities and businesses do what they thought best. He was attacked by some conservatives for not mandating "no mask enforcement, anywhere". Most of those guys are voting for Ammon Bundy, I think.
In my district, I'll have two very freedom oriented state reps, and probably the state senator will be a RINO (or at least the Idaho version of one).
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While I expect Republicans in Congress to continue to be revolting garbage, this is not always the case in the State governments.
Are any of you expecting positive outcomes in individual states?
I'm in Texas. I expect Abbot (gov), Patrick (lt. gov) and Paxton (A.G.) will win, although the last one still has a cloud of legal issues. Beto will probably lose his bid for gov by a large margin. I expect good results for state senate and house for my district this time around, since district boundaries have been shifted and I don't think I'll get stuck with a lefty from Austin again.
Looking at municipal elections for the nearby city of Austin, as far as I can tell there's a full slate of lunatics running for office. As usual. Plus billions in bonds.
I AM concerned about bond issues for both my city and (especially) the local school district. The latter includes $93,000,000 for a HS football stadium.
No. Just . . . no. :facepalm:
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I guess I expect the R's to maintain a majority in Texas. We will see. We got constitutional carry last session. I was hoping for some property tax reform, but that is a pretty big issue. Might take longer to get something useful passed.
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I was watching some video about how female voters have swung from 12% Dem to 15% Republican, when it occurred to me: the choice next week is between the party that will let women have an abortion if they get raped, vs the party that will do something to stop rapes from happening. Seems like an obvious choice.
You answered your own question.
They're roaches.
Sunny Hostin: "I read a poll just yesterday that white Republican suburban women are now going to vote Republican. It’s almost like roaches voting for Raid." pic.twitter.com/ANZgvM97A7
— Washington Free Beacon (@FreeBeacon) November 3, 2022
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/03/sunny-hostin-likens-white-suburban-gop-women-voting-for-republicans-to-roaches-voting-for-raid/
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"What do you want?"
https://youtu.be/zge0ZmFQMPE
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"What do you want?"
https://youtu.be/JSD75pPsquM
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Setting the stage for everything going nuts Tues night
Michael Beschloss on MSNBC warns America is just "six days away" from the end of democracy, historians, and the rule of law. And the start of a brutal GOP dictatorship in which our children could be "arrested and conceivably killed." https://t.co/4kFJuORA8r via @mediaite pic.twitter.com/SPByfPIV1k
— Caleb Howe (@CalebHowe) November 3, 2022
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/03/nbc-news-historian-warns-that-in-6-days-democracy-could-end-and-our-kids-could-be-arrested-and-killed/
(https://media.tenor.com/TEymJBy_WwcAAAAd/simpsons-kent-brockman.gif)
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Wow. R Dictatorship? Do they think this election will bring in a new President as well as Congressional majorities?
Who listens to that and takes it seriously?
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Wow. R Dictatorship? Do they think this election will bring in a new President as well as Congressional majorities?
Who listens to that and takes it seriously?
These days? A majority of Democrats.
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Colbert makes himself look stupid. More than usual.
https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/wayne/2022/11/02/stephen-colbert-dearborn-man-dearborn/69608126007/
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OH BOY OH BOY OH BOY!
Just got this from Senator Mark Warner....
"The first being Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger’s race in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District – which the Cook Political Report just announced is now a “toss up.”"
YES! Please let that Pelosi Butt Crack Sniffer go down in flames!
Although to be honest, her opponent isn't exactly a prize pig.
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OH BOY OH BOY OH BOY!
Just got this from Senator Mark Warner....
"The first being Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger’s race in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District – which the Cook Political Report just announced is now a “toss up.”"
YES! Please let that Pelosi Butt Crack Sniffer go down in flames!
Although to be honest, her opponent isn't exactly a prize pig.
Right now I'll be happy just seeing the dem night go down like the Hindenburg
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Comment: "Voting for Democrats is like asking Edward Scissorhands for a rectal exam."
https://youtu.be/ITonm3CTOmg
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This guy Beto really knows how to get Texans' votes.
https://hotair.com/headlines/2022/11/03/its-come-to-this-for-beto-n507963
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Yeah, I'm at work and I'm not clicking those Twitter links.
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Yeah, I'm at work and I'm not clicking those Twitter links.
Nothing offensive or NSFW. Just indicative of how stupid the Beto campaign has become.
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Nothing offensive or NSFW.
Cringe overload though.
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Nothing offensive or NSFW. Just indicative of how stupid the Beto campaign has become.
OK, cool. What I saw made me think the individual was doing a strip tease for Beto.
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Even the moon will turn red Nov 8th
Don't miss the Beaver Blood Moon lunar eclipse on Nov. 8
https://www.space.com/lunar-eclipse-beaver-blood-moon-nov-08-2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BmEGm-mraE
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Beaver Blood Moon?
Goddamn it, my freezer is still full of Wolf Moon!
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Iron Sky was a prophecy!! MAGA moon!
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Iron Sky was a prophecy!! MAGA moon!
I would rather not go that route.
In Iron Sky it was Nazi's on the moon.
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I would rather not go that route.
In Iron Sky it was Nazi's on the moon.
So MAGA on the moon.
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So Bill Maher, who seemed to be stepping away from the full-on lefty nutbaggery, has stepped back into it. Tuesday will be the last day of America as we know it.
https://www.foxnews.com/media/bill-maher-says-democracy-will-lose-midterms-electing-election-deniers-will-lead-authoritarianism
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Washington Post: @henryolsenEPPC 2022 Midterms Forecast
SENATE
Republicans — 54
Democrats — 46
✅ GOP Pick Ups: AZ, GA, NV and NH
HOUSE
Republicans — 246
Democrats — 189https://t.co/zoDfjbqZg7 pic.twitter.com/DEgwWtOdmf
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 7, 2022
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/11/07/nancy-pelosi-hopes-some-last-minute-economic-gaslighting-will-save-her-speakers-gavel/
And some gaslighting from Pelosi
Families around the world – including here at home – are feeling the sting of global inflation.
Democrats are fighting to lower Americans' cost of living: slashing health care costs, easing energy bills & creating good-paying jobs.
Republicans are fighting for their own power.
— Nancy Pelosi (@SpeakerPelosi) November 7, 2022
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/11/07/nancy-pelosi-hopes-some-last-minute-economic-gaslighting-will-save-her-speakers-gavel/
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SENATE
Republicans — 54
Democrats — 46
HOUSE
Republicans — 246
Democrats — 189
My expectations are pretty close to this although polling continues to get harder.
No one really knows because, like every election, pollsters are extrapolating their best guess based on a set of assumptions. But unlike previous elections, the assumptions are getting bigger.
According to Dave Wasserman, the U.S. House editor at the Cook Political Report, the big problem is that “response rates suck.”
“We’re down to 1 percent of people on a good day who are willing to talk to a pollster for free,” he told The Daily Beast.
Polling can work well if you understand who responds & who doesn't and you can correct for that. Those corrections are becoming a bigger factor though and that's going to cause polls to miss.
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Shades of 2020
As early Election Day results come in on Tuesday, it will likely appear that a Republican candidates vying for any number of the federal or statewide races appear to be leading their Democratic opponents, even by large margins.
Their leads will dwindle, or crumble completely, after perceived “dumps” of votes are recorded by state election officials who count mail-in and absentee ballots in the days — or even weeks — following Election Day.
ABC News reports that an artificial GOP lead, or ‘red mirage,’ will likely appear Tuesday
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2022/11/07/abc-news-reports-that-an-artificial-gop-lead-or-red-mirage-will-likely-appear-tuesday/
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My expectations are pretty close to this although polling continues to get harder.
Polling can work well if you understand who responds & who doesn't and you can correct for that. Those corrections are becoming a bigger factor though and that's going to cause polls to miss.
I don't remember past mid-terms, but that would be a bigger swing than normal I think. Hopefully we will know in a day or two, not a week.
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I'm in a dem machine city, so this is pretty much skewed... But I'm seeing SO much more Dem spending than GOP... And... One of the basic themes is "democracy hinges on this."
I figure if they say it enough...
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I had a horrible dream last night in which the polls were 100% wrong and it was a Democratic wave in both the House and the Senate.
That was unsettling... and I'm still a bit unsettled.
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I had a horrible dream last night in which the polls were 100% wrong and it was a Democratic wave in both the House and the Senate.
Well, if they get their wish to just keep counting votes for however many days after election day that it takes them to win, the nightmare may come true.
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Voted this morning. One of the first people into the polling place.
Holy freaking hell was the polling officer who checked me in HAWT!
My midterms ballot consisted entirely of one race for House of Representatives.
My favorite buddy, Gerry Connolly, is up for re-election. And I have NO doubt that the bottom feeding scumbag will, once again, handily win because if there's one thing that the rich white people in my district love is a Democrat who will assuage their white liberal guilt by taxing them while telling them how bad the whitey rightly Republicans are.
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I'm reading a few national MSM articles this morning that are talking about the Idaho gubernatorial election, calling it a "face off" between our R incumbent and the D challenger, as if it's going to be some kind of close race. I wouldn't be surprised if one of the third party candidates outperforms the dem. :rofl:
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This is really good to see...
CNN's page this morning is practically an obituary to liberal control of all three branches of the government.
[popcorn]
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This is really good to see...
CNN's page this morning is practically an obituary to liberal control of all three branches of the government.
[popcorn]
Well you would expect that from a far right wing news channel
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Sandbag filled and stacked - check
90 days worth of rations and water for both me and the cats - check
Mini gun primed and ready - check
Voting - heading out.
Edit: SandbagS
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My entire Twitter feed this morning is various media company's saying versions of "It will take days or weeks to get the election results, here's why that's OK".
Example: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/early-election-night-results-final-tallies/story?id=92762835
I'm not sure if they are priming the pump to gaslight Repubs after cheating, begging liberals not to burn down cities tonight, or both.
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My entire Twitter feed this morning is various media company's saying versions of "It will take days or weeks to get the election results, here's why that's OK".
Example: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/early-election-night-results-final-tallies/story?id=92762835
I'm not sure if they are priming the pump to gaslight Repubs after cheating, begging liberals not to burn down cities tonight, or both.
I've been seeing that too, along with people like Abrams saying that if she doesn't win, it was due to election fraud and Georgia election law.
A great quote I heard is, "We put men on the moon in 1969, but in 2022 we can't get votes counted by midnight on election night?"
I mean, 20 years ago we were still big into paper ballots, and we still got everything done on election night. Of course we weren't fighting about counting invalid ballots as much back then, because people apparently had more common sense.
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Sandbag filled and stacked - check
90 days worth of rations and water for both me and the cats - check
Mini gun primed and ready - check
Voting - heading out.
I guess if you have a Mini gun one sandbag is enough. =)
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I guess if you have a Mini gun one sandbag is enough. =)
Need something to hide behind while changing ammo boxes. Those things go though ammo fast.
Oh, I see what I did up there
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Voted this morning here in SW Ohio.
Hearing there’s issues in Maricopa County Arizona today….go figure.
Video here: https://twitter.com/jackposobiec/status/1589992364764192768?s=61&t=f8q16SvuDzHeaq1d6GCaqg
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Made it down to the polling place a little after 10:00. 425 ballots counted into the machines when I left. That's shaping up to be a BIG turnout for my little town.
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Wife and I voted at our usual polling place around 11:30. I was number 150 to vote at that location.
Most of the local races were Republicans running unopposed, which is not that unusual in this area, especially for judgeships.
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(https://hosting.photobucket.com/images/x383/WLJohnson1/54c048e4e179cc60e9ada5fade6fa3e8.jpeg)
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The red wave begins in - Guam? ???
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/early-return-the-red-wave-rolls-through-guam-as-republicans-pick-up-their-first-win
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The red wave begins in - Guam? ???
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/early-return-the-red-wave-rolls-through-guam-as-republicans-pick-up-their-first-win
Guamanians are tropical rednecks. Reminded me of home with palm trees. Beater pickups, pigs in the yard, can’t work gone fishing.
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Light traffic at the polling place, grabbed some GREAT burgers on the way home about 1 hour ago.
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The county website says that our ballots were received and counted yesterday. Washington has been mail-in only for many years.
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The county website says that our ballots were received and counted yesterday. Washington has been mail-in only for many years.
Been mostly democrat for many years also hasn't it?
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Muddle-headed musings #1
I think the PA and GA Senate races are showing us something new in American politics, or at least something that’s changed. And it’s changed for both sides.
Unless Oz wins by a very considerable margin, Democrats’ willingness to vote for Fetterman despite his obvious incapacity means Democrat voters have come to see politics as something akin to warfare. Certainly in war, you wouldn’t choose a Fetterman to lead you, but once he’s put in charge, it’s your guy or die. There’s no shrugging your shoulders, and saying, “Well, I guess the other team gets this one.”
If Walker wins in Georgia, even in a run-off, it means Republicans are also voting on a war footing. A few years ago, Walker’s alleged involvement in abortion would have had pundits all over conservative media denouncing him, and going NeverWalker. From what I’ve seen, though, pundits on the right are completely unmoved. So he paid for an abortion years ago? The other guy will vote to allow, or even pay for, abortions by the millions.
This is a good thing, at least from the Republican side. It’s long past time Republicans realized the Left is more enemy of the people than loyal opposition.
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Been mostly democrat for many years also hasn't it?
Seattle and King County dominate Washington state politics due to about a third of the state population living there. That area has reliably skewed Democrat for a very long time, way before mail-in voting. The further you are from Seattle, the higher the percentage of Republican voters. So Spokane, for example, skews Republican, but BobR would know more about that than I.
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CNN seems to have gone full doom and gloom against dems in their TV coverage. To what effect or purpose idk
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Muddle-headed musings #2
Regardless of outcome, there seem to be some trends that favor the right, in the near future. For all the screeching about muh white supremacy, the dealignment of blacks (or at least black men) from the Democrat Party seems to be accelerating. That is even more true of the Latinos (of both sexes, and maybe even the Latinxses, for all I know (how do you pluralize an imaginary demonym?)) Now that the Democratic Party has turned against Asians, will we see a similar move in that group? Also, suburban white chicks are not lost to the Democratic Party, despite how nervous they were about Trump a couple of years ago.
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Not creepy at all
https://twitter.com/PatinkinMandy/status/1589639417475792898?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Just voted to end democracy. It's over, guys! We did it!
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Record Numbers Of Voters Show Up To End Democracy
https://babylonbee.com/news/record-numbers-of-voters-show-up-to-end-democracy
"In a nation built on democracy, we simply cannot afford to have this many people making their voices heard in a democratic fashion," said one high-ranking member of Congress under the condition of anonymity. "If we let everyone in the country legally vote to choose the nation's leadership, democracy itself may be lost forever. Democracy!"
At publishing time, calls had already been made to Dr. Anthony Fauci and the NIH to fast-track the release of their newest deadly virus with the hope that a new global pandemic might save democracy as we know it.
(https://media.babylonbee.com/articles/636a991bdc36d636a991bdc36e.jpg)
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=D When Stacey Abrams can't even get a vote from a guy named "Kwanza."
https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/kwanza-hall-endorsement-kemp-jones-2022-georgia-midterm-elections
I think this is funniest thing I've heard today.
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=D When Stacey Abrams can't even get a vote from a guy named "Kwanza."
https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/kwanza-hall-endorsement-kemp-jones-2022-georgia-midterm-elections
I think this is funniest thing I've heard today.
MUH DIMOKKRIAZY!
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What kind of snowflakes get so emotional that they need the NYT give them anxiety coping tips? This country is filled with weaklings.
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2022/11/08/new-york-times-advises-you-to-plunge-your-face-into-a-bowl-of-water-to-cope-with-the-election/
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win declared for Rand Paul
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DeSantis and Rubio stay in place. Not unexpected
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DeSantis and Rubio stay in place. Not unexpected
Quite a turnaround from 2018
DeSantis is currently up 8 points in Miami-Dade County with 60% in.
In 2018, he lost it by 20 points. Unreal.
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) November 9, 2022
Didn't go over well on MSNBC
Audible gasps from the MSNBC panel when they first saw the early returns from Miami-Dade county pic.twitter.com/Qn1HbCEK7u
— Kevin Tober (@KevinTober94) November 9, 2022
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/11/08/audible-gasps-from-the-msnbc-panel-when-early-returns-from-miami-dade-county-were-shown/
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@KevinCate
At the rate Florida is going, an NPA candidate for governor may have a better shot than a Democrat in 2026. It's that bad. Complete collapse.
We either reset or go extinct.
:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
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1) GOP KY Sen Rand Paul on his reelection: When I return to the Senate. As Chairman. I promise you this. The COVID cover-up will end. I will subpoena every last document of Dr. Fauci..Congress has not held one hearing to investigate the origins of COVID.
— Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) November 9, 2022
2) Paul: As Chairman I will not only hold Dr. Fauci accountable, we will finally investigate why your tax dollars were sent to fund dangerous research in Wuhan. And if I have my way, the taxpayer will never again be forced to fund the creation of dangerous super viruses.
— Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) November 9, 2022
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2022/11/08/sen-rand-paul-says-when-he-returns-as-chairman-the-covid-cover-up-will-end/
[popcorn]
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I didn't expect Lee Zeldin to win, but I also didn't expect him to get so soundly trounced. Currently 71% Hochul, 28% Zeldin. That 28% of NY can kiss their guns and freedom goodbye.
And let the subway beatings continue.
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I didn't expect Lee Zeldin to win, but I also didn't expect him to get so soundly trounced. Currently 71% Hochul, 28% Zeldin. That 28% of NY can kiss their guns and freedom goodbye.
And let the subway beatings continue.
Wow
NY has gone full stupid.
She's going to go hog wild on gun control now.
See Chucky won in NY with similar numbers
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NYC has completely *expletive deleted*ed up the rest of NY state
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I didn't expect Lee Zeldin to win, but I also didn't expect him to get so soundly trounced. Currently 71% Hochul, 28% Zeldin. That 28% of NY can kiss their guns and freedom goodbye.
And let the subway beatings continue.
20% reporting see what the rest of the state does. If he gets above 30% in the city that’s good.
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20% reporting see what the rest of the state does. If he gets above 30% in the city that’s good.
Seeing 95% in https://twitchy.com/election/2022/governor/
Edit: But Fox says 30% go figure
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Looks like the polls were way off in the NY gubernatorial race. Instead of being close, the Republican is getting his clock cleaned. Oz is also getting trounced in the PA senate race. So much for the red wave if the polls were that far off.
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Looks like the polls were way off in the NY gubernatorial race. Instead of being close, the Republican is getting his clock cleaned. Oz is also getting trounced in the PA senate race. So much for the red wave if the polls were that far off.
Fetterman/Oz 4 points apart 52% in
Only 35% in so far in NY and that's probably mostly NYC
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Robert Sherman
@RobertShermanTV
BREAKING: Maricopa County says they expect to have 99% of their ballots counted here by Friday.
Friday :facepalm:
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I'm afraid I must report some election shenanigans in my precinct. Democracy was nowhere to be found on my ballot.
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Could be headed for tie in the Senate or worse
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Listen to all the fascism.
https://youtu.be/yUGGCl7LruI
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1% margin both in PA for the Ds and GA for the Rs
77 and 89% in
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IF Walker hangs on in GA AND Rs win AK, WI, UT, & NV then 51-49 Rs.
I haven't seen anything on NV
Razor thin in GA right now
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Warnock now in lead in GA
edit: CNN shows Walker in lead
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0.6 % margin in PA, 88% in
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I got to get to bed, I predict 51-49 Ds in the senate since NV may be going D and I have my doubts about GA.
Red wave my ass. *expletive deleted*ck this *expletive deleted*it
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That illiterate,fat, racist... thing got soundly trounced in the Ga governor race. Again. I am pleased.
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That illiterate,fat, racist... thing got soundly trounced in the Ga governor race. Again. I am pleased.
And she conceded. Yeah, hell may have just frozen over.
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Biden will have someone to talk to with Fetterman
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And it could be 52-48 Ds. WI may be going blue
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Better hope no one on the SC dies anytime soon.
Because they're bound to put in the most flaming leftists imaginable to replace them.
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Justice Beto
Justice Abrams
Justice Clinton
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Well at least JD Vance won the Senate race in Ohio.
Also, DeWine sent that asshat Whaley packing.
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It appears as if the Brandon "hide in the basement and don't talk to anybody" strategy is working in Arizona. Thin margin, but most seem to be calling it for Katie Hobbs.
2022 will be known as the election that put the most people who can't form a cogent sentence into office. Just to keep Brandon company.
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This is absolutely insane. The economy is, supposedly, the single most important thing Americans are worried about across the board, the Democrats get lousy ratings on handling the economy, and yet the Democrats are basically out *expletive deleted*ing performing across the board.
Republicans may end up controlling the House, but this is, literally, a *expletive deleted*ing victory for the Democratic party.
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Republicans may end up controlling the House, but this is, literally, a *expletive deleted*ing victory for the Democratic party.
Exactly how I feel. Because we all know how the establishment Rs work. If we get a slim majority, we all know that for every important piece of legislation, there will be at least 20 Rs who will vote with the Ds "because we need to come together". With the senate in a dead heat, that moron Harris may still have a tie-breaking vote, which means very little may change.
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The nation's 4 worst governors (Hochul, Wittmer, Pritzker, and Newsom) were re-elected. I no longer feel sorry for the people of NY, MI, IL and CA.
I remember Pritzker of IL put "two in a boat" covid restrictions in place for recreational boating in Illinois. When questioned about (for example) a family of five - two parents and three young children all from the same household - he said no more than 2 of those 5 family members could be in the same boat. Covid, you know. Shows you what kind of jackass that fat ***k is.
At least DeSantis (FL), Abbot (TX), Kemp (GA), and DeWine (OH) won those governor's races. Kari Lake is trailing slightly behind Hobbs but only 68% of the vote is in so far. (Delays do NOT encourage faith in election integrity!!)
Tshibaka currently has a slight lead over Murkowski in Alaska - if she holds it, it will mean an R replacing an R(ino).
A commentator on the radio said that over the last 10 years, D's invested something like 200 million dollars trying to get Beto elected to something, anything, in TX, and have nothing to show for it. (Don't know where that number came from, but it sounds a little high to me.)
There was also some talk that Mitch McConnell helped some D's win by keeping campaign funds away from R's he didn't like.
. . . Because we all know how the establishment Rs work. If we get a slim majority, we all know that for every important piece of legislation, there will be at least 20 Rs who will vote with the Ds "because we need to come together" . . .
QFT. =(
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I'm thinking this Roe vs Wade business energized the dem base and the timing couldn't of been worse. Gave them something to bit onto to. Without it the dems wouldn't have had something to rally the troops around.
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There was also some talk that Mitch McConnell helped some D's win by keeping campaign funds away from R's he didn't like.
I place some blame with him as well, for kiboshing them to keep the "wrong" Rs out of the club. Gotta keep that establishment boat on an even keel.
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Republicans may end up controlling the House,
Just looked at the map and I'm getting the same vibes from the House race map as I was from the Senate map last night.
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Looking at my neighbor to the south, both the Oregon governor and the Oregon gun control measure are too close to call right now. I am at least somewhat encouraged that the gun control measure was not a runaway winner.
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The real take away from this race is that Democracy won't be allowed to divert us from a lucrative war.
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If the Ds get the senate and the house a RvW type bill will be law within days and you can kiss the 2nd and much of the 1st goodbye. Then it's on to the Great Green 3th World Future. You peasants will just have to eat Chef Boyardee and buy an electric car.
I need something stronger than caffeine in my coffee this morning
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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/09/us/politics/republican-election-results.html
From the article:
All the conditions were there for a wave, but in the end Republicans appeared to have generated no more than a red ripple.
At the end of a campaign in which the fundamental conditions for Democrats seemed dire — inflation at a 40-year high, an unpopular president — Republicans could do no better than to end the evening still scratching here and there for the seats they needed to win control of the House, the minimum they could call a victory.
All indications were that they would end up at best with one of the weakest performances in decades by the out-of-power party against a first-term president’s party, a stark contrast to Republican gains of 54 House seats against President Bill Clinton in 1994 and 63 seats against President Barack Obama in 2010.
Abortion proved to be the motivator Democrats believed it would be, helping to boost a number of Democratic candidates who leaned into the issue, including Representative Abigail Spanberger of Virginia, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, Josh Shapiro, who won the governor’s race in Pennsylvania, and Senator Patty Murray of Washington.
Voters in Michigan, Kentucky, California and Vermont were on track to preserve or expand abortion rights through votes on ballot measures.
And in Wisconsin and North Carolina, Republicans fell short of state legislative supermajorities that would have allowed the party to pass partisan priorities like abortion bans, overriding the governor’s veto.
Exit polls indicated that overall, the economy and inflation were weighing most on their minds, and they favored Republicans to fix the economic uncertainty. But abortion was a strong driver as well, with 27 percent of voters saying abortion was the most important issue to their vote.
The 60 percent of voters who said they were dissatisfied or angry about the overturning of Roe overwhelmingly supported Democrats. Voters who said they were dissatisfied but not angry were more split between Democrats and Republicans.
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If the Ds get the senate and the house a RvW type bill will be law within days and you can kiss the 2nd and much of the 1st goodbye. Then it's on to the Great Green 3th World Future. You peasants will just have to eat eat Chef Boyardee and buy an electric car.
I need something stronger than caffeine in my coffee this morning
The D's HAD the House and the Senate and didn't do these things. Hell they still have it right now. They could call a special session and pass a RvW bill before this election's congress is seated.
My prediction is that they will continue fleecing billions of dollars, while pandering to whichever crazy small group of constituents is the loudest, or has the most TikTok followers. We're going to continue *expletive deleted*ing around in Foreign Policy until one or two solid wars kick off, and then we'll distract everyone with that. The Fleecing, pandering, and war profiteering will be bipartisan.
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If the Ds get the senate and the house
I think the probability is high that Rs get the house by a very small margin. A GOOD majority leader might be able to do a little good, at least in blocking some things, so we might be able to get a little gridlock, which can be a good thing from the "better than nothing" perspective. A problem will be that for the most part, that "minority majority" will not only be generally ineffective, but the usual suspects in the MSM will be able to use the "republican majority" as the scapegoat for every stupid thing Brandon does.
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These results are good for DeSantis' presidential ambitions. He not only easily won reelection but also outperformed Trump backed candidates. Trump's "kingmaker" status took a hit, I think the biggest worry now for DeSantis is whether he can keep it up or if he's "peaking too early".
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My prediction is that they will continue fleecing billions of dollars, while pandering to whichever crazy small group of constituents is the loudest, or has the most TikTok followers. We're going to continue *expletive deleted*ing around in Foreign Policy until one or two solid wars kick off, and then we'll distract everyone with that. The Fleecing, pandering, and war profiteering will be bipartisan.
You are reinforcing my current philosophy of laying low in the BFE boonies of flyover country. No visiting the Alliance core worlds, no calling the feds.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/09/us/politics/republican-election-results.html
From the article:
...
Exit polls indicated that overall, the economy and inflation were weighing most on their minds, and they favored Republicans to fix the economic uncertainty. But abortion was a strong driver as well, with 27 percent of voters saying abortion was the most important issue to their vote.
The 60 percent of voters who said they were dissatisfied or angry about the overturning of Roe overwhelmingly supported Democrats. Voters who said they were dissatisfied but not angry were more split between Democrats and Republicans.
I wonder if paying more service to Lyndsey Graham's bill, (or a similar ban abortion after 1-1.5 trimester) would have affected that. IIRC that's still the most common opinion in the US, where as states that are acting seem to be going to one extreme or the other.
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Looking at by-county national maps. It's shaping up as yet another case of creeping incrementalism and undue influence of population centers. A sea of red with relatively small blue sections dotted throughout.
I'm also seeing some indications of a light turnout in many locations. That's a genuine surprise given social unrest and the economy. I need to investigate further.
Brad
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The D's HAD the House and the Senate and didn't do these things. Hell they still have it right now. They could call a special session and pass a RvW bill before this election's congress is seated.
IIRC they last had control of both houses and the presidency at the same time during Obama'a first term, then RvW was still law and not the issue it is now.
A full on permanent "assault weapons ban did almost passed then and a full ban is more of a priority for them now than it was then.
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IIRC they last had control of both houses and the presidency at the same time during Obama'a first term, then RvW was still law and not the issue it is now.
A full on permanent "assault weapons ban did almost passed then and a full ban is more of a priority for them now than it was then.
They literally have that right now.
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I will be interested to see how the stock market reacts today.
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I think those douchebags at Huffington Post said it best...
"The Red Whimper."
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I will be interested to see how the stock market reacts today.
Heading down as we speak.
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They literally have that right now.
Not really, what we have now is more of a staring contest between idiots. They're been blocked in the senate the past couple of years. HR1808 is currently stalled by the thinnest of margins in the senate and they knew any RvW type bill would likely suffer the same fate. That block may have just been washed away. They're also going to have a largely free hand in confirming nominations.
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Heading down as we speak.
I think some of the recent gains were in expectation of a red wave.
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It seems that the historic shift of minorities to the Republican side also failed to materialize, just as it failed in 2020.
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After this debacle, maybe the Republicans should change the name of their party to the "Wishful Thinking" party. Two major elections in row where they were predicting glorious victories that failed to materialize.
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Not really, what we have now is more of a staring contest between idiots. They're been blocked in the senate the past couple of years. HR1808 is currently stalled by the thinnest of margins in the senate and they knew any RvW type bill would likely suffer the same fate. That block may have just been washed away. They're also going to have a largely free hand in confirming nominations.
Why do you say that? I'm genuinely curious. The NYT and most of the pro Dem places are predicting a 50-50 Senate. That's what we have now. Even if the D's pick up all 5 of the currently undecided Senate seats they'll only get a 51-49 majority. Other than not needing Kamala to come in and vote, how is that functionally any different from the current 50-50?
Am I missing some esoteric Senate rule?
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Why do you say that? I'm genuinely curious. The NYT and most of the pro Dem places are predicting a 50-50 Senate. That's what we have now. Even if the D's pick up all 5 of the currently undecided Senate seats they'll only get a 51-49 majority. Other than not needing Kamala to come in and vote, how is that functionally any different from the current 50-50?
Am I missing some esoteric Senate rule?
My statements are based on IF they get control of both the Senate and the House. Sorry if that wasn't clear.
To the second part, the filibuster, I don't expect that to hold forever, and they need enough votes to overcome any dems who get cold feet.
HR1808 has been sitting in the senate for some time now and there has been RvW bill sitting and waiting for the right momment in the House.
Edit: I did say IF
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After this debacle, maybe the Republicans should change the name of their party to the "Wishful Thinking" party. Two major elections in row where they were predicting glorious victories that failed to materialize.
Not to mention their complete and total failure on all of their loud speak about Obamacare.
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My statements are based on IF they get control of both the Senate and the House. Sorry if that wasn't clear.
To the second part, the filibuster, I don't expect that to hold forever, and they need enough votes to overcome any dems who get cold feet.
HR1808 has been sitting in the senate for some time now and there has been RvW bill sitting and waiting for the right momment in the House.
Edit: I did say IF
Right, but they mathematically can't get functionally more in either chamber than they already had. There is nothing that can happen to give them the 60 to overcome the filibuster.
So in what way would Dems controlling the house and senate after this midterm be in any way different than what we had the last two years?
If they didn't do all the things you posted this summer, what makes you think they would do it after Jan?
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Again I hope, but don't expect the fillbuster to last forever, something is bound to change sooner or later. Do you trust Mitch that much? I don't and he's one of my state's senators along with Paul.
Again I said IF and who knows maybe enough dems get cold feet as well.
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Right, but they mathematically can't get functionally more in either chamber than they already had. There is nothing that can happen to give them the 60 to overcome the filibuster.
So in what way would Dems controlling the house and senate after this midterm be in any way different than what we had the last two years?
If they didn't do all the things you posted this summer, what makes you think they would do it after Jan?
Biden will likely not run again, so he can do anything he wants. And Congressional Dems obviously won't be held accountable by the voters, judging by what happened yesterday. Why shouldn't the Left push as hard as they can?
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Biden will likely not run again, so he can do anything he wants. And Congressional Dems obviously won't be held accountable by the voters, judging by what happened yesterday. Why shouldn't the Left push as hard as they can?
This is actually food for thought. Most of the time that either side holds back on "big" issues like abortion or guns is because they're afraid they may go a step too far and alienate enough voters to hurt their party. After 2020 and yesterday, it appears that dems can do whatever they want with no consequences, so I could easily see the squad type Ds (the squad won by landslides again) spinning the establishment Ds up to just go for it on all kinds of stuff.
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Well, at least one thing put a smile on my face:
https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2022/11/09/christina-pushaw-puts-ron-desantis-runaway-victory-into-dazzling-perspective/
Excellent jab, considering Newsom's attacks on DeSantis and Newsom's whole "Florida campaign".
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Biden will likely not run again, so he can do anything he wants. And Congressional Dems obviously won't be held accountable by the voters, judging by what happened yesterday. Why shouldn't the Left push as hard as they can?
Maybe, that is food for a bit of thought, but the Dems don't, historically, hold back swinging for the fences for fear of elections.
Part of what made me question WLJ's assertion is that he said a RvW bill would be passed within days if they had both houses. They have both houses, and clearly think Abortion is a big deal to their voters, so why didn't they pass that bill this summer, if they were going to/could? I guess maybe they decided to hold off so it could be an election issue, but more likely they knew it wouldn't get through a filibuster, so why waste time. That hasn't changed, so why would they pass it now, much less within days? (The cynic in me says the politicians are better off leaving that issue on the states so they can perennially use the threat of the "other party from State [ x ] will kill babies/legislate your womb" to scare up votes) Same with guns.
1A may be more of an issue, but that's coming up because Twitter left the plantation, not because of these elections. I could see the pols being "bipartisan" on making sure DHS can still censor the internet.
This midterm was a status quo. R's didn't win enough* to do anything but keep blocking the worst of it, and Dem's didn't win enough to do more than keep incrementing the world's economy into the crapper. What we had last winter, is what we will have this winter. Except Season 2 of the Jan 6 hearings may be canceled.
*The one other caveat is that IF the R's get the Senate, and IF Rand Paul can actually get the docs he wants from the NIH regarding COVID, and IF those docs are allowed to be made public, we might see some real rending of garments.
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*The one other caveat is that IF the R's get the Senate, and IF Rand Paul can actually get the docs he wants from the NIH regarding COVID, and IF those docs are allowed to be made public, we might see some real rending of garments.
I would look forward to that, except that as in the past, the big truth bombs will be dropped well after the fact, and people will take the Hillary Clinton road of, "What difference, at this point...".
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Maybe, that is food for a bit of thought, but the Dems don't, historically, hold back swinging for the fences for fear of elections.
Part of what made me question WLJ's assertion is that he said a RvW bill would be passed within days if they had both houses. They have both houses, and clearly think Abortion is a big deal to their voters, so why didn't they pass that bill this summer, if they were going to/could?
Filibuster and baring that they needed enough of a margin in case a dem or two got cold feet is why they didn't go for it during the summer. Mitch probably would have stood his ground, yeah I know, and they need to neutralize him to some extent.
Also consider this, if they had gone for it and got it passed during the summer that would have mostly, not completely mind you, removed their one and only election ace in the hole to get the left masses out and vote. They're masters at the political long game while the R can't see pass next week.
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A little bit of local good news - there were three school bond issues up for a vote in my area. Two of them passed ( :'( ) but the third one - $93,000,000 for a high school football stadium - was voted down by a heretical electorate. =D (I say that because HS football is a religion with some Texans.)
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Okay, numbers from CNN
NV Blue 49.9 vs 47.2% with 77% in. Still a toss up though.
GA Blue 49.2 vs 48.7% with 96% in. Still could go either way.
AZ Blue 51.4 vs 46.4% 69% in Still a toss up.
Rs currently have 49 seats vs D's 48
So, if any 1 of the above go red we'll have a tie, again, in the Senate. but if they stay blue it'll be 51-49.
House is a mess currently at 187 D vs 203 R with by a rough count ~10-11 districts tending red.
House tie point is 218
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CNN saying GA race headed to a Dec 6 run off
Looks like I picked the wrong week month to quit sniffing glue
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Not a peep about voting issues I have seen. Did we really blow it this bad?
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The GA runoff won't include the Libertarian who pulled in 2%. We'll see how those folks break.
I also have to imagine turnout for a runoff is both lower, and more likely to be the party faithful. I have no idea how that will end up breaking down, other than guessing the folks that only sorta cared for the midterm won't bother for a runoff.
How much out of state political money do you think GA will see in the next month?
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NV went red with 80% in
49.9 vs 47.2
Getting conflicting reports on just how red or blue the areas left are.
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The GA runoff won't include the Libertarian who pulled in 2%. We'll see how those folks break.
Yeah, whole time I was watching that race I was wondering how much he was pulling from either Walker or Warnock.
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NV went red with 80% in
49.9 vs 47.2
Getting conflicting reports on just how red or blue the areas left are.
... and right on cue:
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/11/09/nevada-election-officials-flooded-by-thousands-of-mail-in-ballots-so-final-tally-will-take-a-while/
(ETA: according to Politico https://www.politico.com/2022-election/results/nevada/senate/ Laxalt is leading in every NV county except Clark)
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Yeah, whole time I was watching that race I was wondering how much he was pulling from either Walker or Warnock.
Oregon gov race looks close enough (last I checked) that the third party candidate lost it for either the D or the R. Though they're calling it for the D.
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At this writing (about 4:25 PM CST) with 73% of the vote in, Kari Lake is 4750 (0.2%) behind Hobbs. At 68%, she was about 20k behind.
Trend is encouraging, slow vote count is not.
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At this writing (about 4:25 PM CST) with 73% of the vote in, Kari Lake is 4750 (0.2%) behind Hobbs. At 68%, she was about 20k behind.
Trend is encouraging, slow vote count is not.
That would be great.
Still, Lake was putting herself out there talking to everyone, even "the enemy", always making herself available for interviews and answering hard questions. Lots of rallies full of people. Hobbs had a few empty press conferences and hid in a bunker like a Biden, and it's this close.
It's just really similar to Trump/Biden, with tons of enthusiasm and packed rallies for Trump, who was out there taking the questions, while Biden hid, but Biden got the most votes in the history of the universe. It really makes you think that something is rotten in Denmark the system.
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Also, Dow down 650. I expect that "they" expect more inflation and bad economic news with a weak R majority.
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Oregon's Measure 114, which might be the worst gun control in the country outside of NY, is currently at 50.68% yes, 49.32% no. With ~85% of the votes counted. I'm a little worried for our Oregon members.
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Also, I was just poking around the election results sites, and as of now, CA only has 42% of their votes counted. No other state is even close to that far behind. I guess counting those 10 million illegal alien votes along with the rest really does take some time.
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Oregon's Measure 114, which might be the worst gun control in the country outside of NY, is currently at 50.68% yes, 49.32% no. With ~85% of the votes counted. I'm a little worried for our Oregon members.
If it passes, I see it being challenged immediately. The Bruen decision has been a godsend in that respect.
Brad
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Here's something odd. My FlightAware ADS-B receiver detected only about a third of the normal number of commercial flights today after 0800. Huge dip in flight and position counts compared to each of the previous seven days. Things didn't return to normal levels until about 1400 EST.
It wasn't a system problem, it was an actual decline in flights through the area during the listed time span. MLAT counts from nearby receivers were off, too, confirming it wasn't a local system problem.
I've been seeing between 2800 and 3300 flights pass within a 200 nm radius of my location on a typical day. I'll still see around 2750 flights today, given how things picked up around 1400, but that kind of a recovery is odd in itself.
Was it related to the election somehow? Probably not, but who knows, really? But it certainly was an odd, atypical occurrence. I don't remember this happening during the 2020 election. And it's not happened before unless there was a system problem of some kind.
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... and right on cue:
https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/11/09/nevada-election-officials-flooded-by-thousands-of-mail-in-ballots-so-final-tally-will-take-a-while/
(ETA: according to Politico https://www.politico.com/2022-election/results/nevada/senate/ Laxalt is leading in every NV county except Clark)
Nevada election official says it could take until November 18 to finalize results
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2022/11/09/nevada-election-official-says-it-could-take-until-november-18-to-finalize-results/
All comes down to outstanding Clark County mail-in ballots — yet to be counted. If they are higher than 100,000, then Cortez Masto likely would benefit. If they number less than 70,000, Laxalt could keep his lead and win, according to @RalstonReports
— Susan Crabtree (@susancrabtree) November 9, 2022
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Republican Party Staves Off Red Wave
https://babylonbee.com/news/republican-party-staves-off-red-wave
"This was a close call," said one Republican leader in Washington. "We were worried that we would achieve massive victories tonight, but we thankfully snatched defeat from the jaws of victory to achieve a much more proper and sensible red trickle, like the proper gentlemen we are."
At publishing time, Republican strategists were researching ways to keep their power in D.C. without achieving so much power that they'd actually have to become compelling leaders.
=D
(https://media.babylonbee.com/articles/636bdd51cbadf636bdd51cbae0.jpg)
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Americans are not only Stupid, but we're done. [popcorn]
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I don’t know whether to be amazed at unprovable fraud or the stupidity of the voters. Why not both? Shouldn’t be close.
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Americans are not only Stupid, but we're done. [popcorn]
Not so. This is only the end of whatever you want to call the current malaise. The future belongs to whichever side has the will to make *expletive deleted*it happen. The republicans are not and haven't been the answer for a long time. We're into Edmond Burke territory, and if the "good men" aren't up to it, we deserve whatever the *expletive deleted*ing Communists have in store for us.
To quote a better man than I, " local, local, local". Sit on your hands at your peril. We've got work to do.
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Well this is interesting. The D was way ahead of Boebert until late today. Now it's down to 73 votes.
Adam Frisch DEM 155,579 50.01%
Lauren Boebert GOP* 155,506 49.99%
* = IncumbentVotes in: Estimated 93%
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And now the Dow is up nearly 800 pre-market this morning, so maybe the markets will be a wash in all this, at least in the near term.
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I've seen a couple of articles from right-leaning authors, talking about the electoral performance of Trump/MAGA vs "normal" Republican pols. Which makes me wonder if I got in a time machine, and went back 6 years. In 2022, the Trump/MAGA are the normal Republicans. Ask Liz Cheney.
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The nation's 4 worst governors (Hochul, Wittmer, Pritzker, and Newsom) were re-elected. I no longer feel sorry for the people of NY, MI, IL and CA.
I remember Pritzker of IL put "two in a boat" covid restrictions in place for recreational boating in Illinois. When questioned about (for example) a family of five - two parents and three young children all from the same household - he said no more than 2 of those 5 family members could be in the same boat. Covid, you know. Shows you what kind of jackass that fat ***k is.
Wasting no time after getting reelected he's pushing a "assault" weapons ban in IL. Maybe as early as next week.
Less Than 24 Hours After His Re-Election...2A Ban On Deck
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ofSHYKTYl9A
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That scumbag Gerry Connolly just sent me a "thank you" e-mail and noted that the Democratic party is on track to have one of the best mid-term election results in history.
He's right.
This is just beyond my comprehension.
The economy and crime were supposedly the two biggest litmus tests for Americans in polling.
I guess it's another case of the polls not reaching the people who were swinging the damned vote.
Anyone catch Biden screeching NO MORE DRILLING! while at an event for Hochul in New York?
Buckle up, America, you think you're over a tank now? Just wait to Biden gives away every last energy weapon we have at our disposal.
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. . . Buckle up, America, you think you're over a tank now? Just wait to Biden gives away every last energy weapon we have at our disposal.
Oh, I don't think he's giving them away.
Getting so many policy decisions wrong - making more bad decisions than he would if he were governing by coin flip - indicates to me that he's either corrupt or compromised. Most likely some combination of both.
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Rolling Stone's take on the midterms
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/midterm-meltdown-trump-maga-republicans-oz-pennsylvania-1234627955/
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Boebert has pulled ahead by a smidge, now at 50.1% and up by 794 votes with 98% reporting.
Brad
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I predict the
battle shitshow between left leaning hairless apes and right leaning hairless apes to continue.
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Boebert has pulled ahead by a smidge, now at 50.1% and up by 794 votes with 98% reporting.
IT'S A LANDSLIDE!!
(I find Politico's figures a bit weird. This morning, they reported "99% in" with Frisch nursing a slight lead. Now it's 98% with Boebert slightly ahead. Huh?)
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https://idahonews.com/news/local/jerome-county-amending-unofficial-election-night-results#
BOISE, Idaho (CBS2) — What initially appeared to be a Democratic win in the Idaho House has turned into a Republican victory after a glitch in reporting early voting was corrected in south-central Idaho, a state election official said Thursday.
A "glitch", huh? Suuuuuure.
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/dead-man-reelected-in-pennsylvania/ar-AA13Uc0Q
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/dead-man-reelected-in-pennsylvania/ar-AA13Uc0Q
I bet he voted, too.
Twice.
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Thirty-three percent of Jews voted Republican in the primaries, up from 30% in 2020 and 24% in 2016. This new voting bloc proves two things: Jews are starting to wake up to political realities and letting go of their indoctrinated belief that Democrats are the “Jewish party”
https://pjmedia.com/columns/rabbi-michael-barclay/2022/11/10/are-american-jews-finally-leaving-the-democratic-party-n1644969
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/dead-man-reelected-in-pennsylvania/ar-AA13Uc0Q
The Democrats already did that.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2000/nov/08/uselections2000.usa27
The voters of Missouri have elected Governor Mel Carnahan to the US Senate - three weeks after he perished in a plane crash.
The late governor, a Democrat, scored a narrow victory over his living Republican challenger, incumbent Senator John Ashcroft. Their contest was both close and bitter. Mr Carnahan was a pugnacious liberal, while Mr Ashcroft was a passionate conservative. Both had won two terms as state governor.
Their long and vituperative rivalry ended when Mr Carnahan died, along with his son and an election aide, in a light aircraft crash on October 16. His death occurred too late for the ballot paper to be re-cast.
The new state governor, Roger Wilson, said that if Mr Carnahan won, his 66-year-old widow Jean would be appointed to serve Mr Carnahan's two-year term in the Senate. That is perfectly legal, though Republicans are incensed.
No candidate has ever before been posthumously elected to the Senate, though three dead candidates have previously won seats in the House of Representatives.
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https://idahonews.com/news/local/jerome-county-amending-unofficial-election-night-results#
A "glitch", huh? Suuuuuure.
District 26, which includes Blaine County (Sun Valley), of course. The lefty pimple on Idaho's ass, where jackasses like Jimmy Kimmel own fancy fishing lodges while dunking on us as hillabillies on his stupid show.
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So from what I can tell, it appears both Nevada and Alaska should go red. Alaska for sure, but most of the maps I see still have it not counted, and showing 49 confirmed R seats. So if both those states go red, 51 seats. What am I missing?
I see Calif is still showing only ~40% votes counted, with six uncalled congressional districts tending red by pretty good margins. That would just get Rs to the 216 majority.
Again, still a disappointing red wavelet, but it would be nice to have a senate with just enough Rs to negate the VP vote. At least for stuff that some Rs won't wuss out on and vote with the Ds.
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So from what I can tell, it appears both Nevada and Alaska should go red. Alaska for sure, but most of the maps I see still have it not counted, and showing 49 confirmed R seats. So if both those states go red, 51 seats. What am I missing?
The 49 figure already includes AK. Many maps show AK as undecided but both candidates are Rs, it's just a question of which one.
And don't forget GA, runoff is Dec 6th
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Laxalt (R) is leading the NV Senate race but it's not officially decided. The AZ Senate race shows Kelly (D) currently leading. So it will probably come down to the Georgia runoff before we know who controls the Senate.
By the way, 218 seats are needed for a majority in the House.
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Can anyone explain this to me?
“Elections are not run anymore like they were in the 1980s,” Fox News contributor Mollie Hemingway said on Wednesday night. “There is now [an] extensive period of voting where people who are smart are running get-out-the-vote operations every day, hauling in ballots every day. Republicans keep thinking Election Day is a single day and they think if they get everyone excited for that last day that that will be sufficient. That is not sufficient. There needs to be an effective ground game.
https://amgreatness.com/2022/11/10/the-1980s-hangover-and-the-gop/
I guess I have not kept up with new rules about voting. Campaigns are supposed to be vote-harvesting in the months leading up to election day?
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Exit polls, however, seem to contradict the idea that Trump played a major factor in the unexpected outcome. According to a comprehensive survey of more than 18,000 voters taken on November 8, 54 percent said Trump was not a factor in how they voted; 47 percent said the same of Joe Biden.
If there was a protest vote—only 28 percent said they voted Democrat to oppose Trump—it appeared to have little impact.
:O
Only 28 percent? That seems really high for midterm voters concerns about a former president.
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Ah, that explains the delay:
https://babylonbee.com/news/uh-oh-george-rr-martin-has-been-placed-in-charge-of-counting-arizona-ballots
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Well, at least there's a little humor out of this mess.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FhYAfJsXgAEY1WK?format=jpg&name=900x900)
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(https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgREyMCV_EaSNKEOq67SHstijqBWNpzSpXij2gjF19EYZAolis7Bub6nXRbkhL_BzqNfXMRonhc4eTtjPzCNiGviTgUh1Lv1PHflQ4wrq0XPtL36Qmq2Ir4pa08yMn_mkoooii1ICe1aEybX4KPwFa8l410C6sZn086TrCBcI0GMIi1TCIweAKGyEU84g/w640-h524/90mimb_6f572faa261a82d67ac419c962fd462c_ad529bb0_540.jpg)
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If I'm not mistaken, most of the undecided House races are in California. That does not bode well for Republican control of the House of Representatives.
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If I'm not mistaken, most of the undecided House races are in California. That does not bode well for Republican control of the House of Representatives.
And still only 50% of the votes counted there. What a charlie foxtrot.
I think we'll never again see the days where election day is the last day for a ballot to be counted, absentee, mail-in, or not, other than in a very few states with some common sense.
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Am I being overly optimistic if I see the possible advantages of unsettled elections in CA?
Might mean that Democratic "shoo-ins" aren't happening in Libland.
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Am I being overly optimistic if I see the possible advantages of unsettled elections in CA?
Might mean that Democratic "shoo-ins" aren't happening in Libland.
The "shoo-ins" might not be happening, but enough straight Dem ballots are being printed to overcome whatever deficit there is in Dem votes.
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The "shoo-ins" might not be happening, but enough straight Dem ballots are being printed to overcome whatever deficit there is in Dem votes.
Quit being realistic and let me live in my happy little fantasy.
Terry
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It's election season, not election day :lol:
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And still only 50% of the votes counted there. What a charlie foxtrot.
I think we'll never again see the days where election day is the last day for a ballot to be counted, absentee, mail-in, or not, other than in a very few states with some common sense.
Awesome. Let's all accept defeat! Black pills all around!
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Awesome. Let's all accept defeat! Black pills all around!
So are you suggesting fed.gov intervention to standardize across states? Because something like a Brandon fed.gov will not make things better. If left to the states, certainly states like AZ have a hope of changing much like FL did after 2000. States like CA and NY on the other hand, are on a path that won't be changed short of the ever talked about "civil war".
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So are you suggesting fed.gov intervention to standardize across states?
No. Not sure why you'd think so.
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Just read a story on Fox about the 19 remaining unsettled House races. At least ten of those races will certainly go Democrat. There are two or three others that might go Democrat. I think the Democrats will narrowly hold their control of the House.
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Just read a story on Fox about the 19 remaining unsettled House races. At least ten of those races will certainly go Democrat. There are two or three others that might go Democrat. I think the Democrats will narrowly hold their control of the House.
Funny how long/delayed vote counts that "flip" earlier returns overwhelmingly favor democrats, isn't it? I guess that's just meant to bolster faith in election integrity.
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Looks like they are calling Arizona for Hobbs, and that a recount is likely.
Tinfoil on, as I mentioned earlier, this is one of those races that are fishy to me. Just like Trump/Biden, we have one candidate with packed rallies, doing interviews and answering questions left and right, and just animated and out there with a ridiculously enthusiastic base. The other candidate refused debates, refuses to answer question (going as far as practically tipping a restaurant table over to run and hide in a bathroom), refused all but the softest softball interviews (and being inarticulate when interviewed), and had an unenthusiastic base, in an ostensibly red state, and she's the winner.
Is there really a big "silent majority" of democrats in Arizona, or are post election night votes "being found"?
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/arizona-governor-hobbs-lake-recount-state-law
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Funny how long/delayed vote counts that "flip" earlier returns overwhelmingly favor democrats, isn't it? I guess that's just meant to bolster faith in election integrity.
Looks like they are calling Arizona for Hobbs, and that a recount is likely.
Tinfoil on, as I mentioned earlier, this is one of those races that are fishy to me. Just like Trump/Biden, we have one candidate with packed rallies, doing interviews and answering questions left and right, and just animated and out there with a ridiculously enthusiastic base. The other candidate refused debates, refuses to answer question (going as far as practically tipping a restaurant table over to run and hide in a bathroom), refused all but the softest softball interviews (and being inarticulate when interviewed), and had an unenthusiastic base, in an ostensibly red state, and she's the winner.
Is there really a big "silent majority" of democrats in Arizona, or are post election night votes "being found"?
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/arizona-governor-hobbs-lake-recount-state-law
It’s fraud straight up and simple.
And it’s fraud done in a “*expletive deleted*ck you we’re going to be as obvious as possible with it, knowing you won’t be able to do anything while we cover up windows and doors and have partisan ballot counters wearing Democrat apparel make up enough votes to flip the majority just enough in our favor in these swing states”
*expletive deleted*ck this country I hope it all collapses.
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If the Rs win GA we're right back where we are now.
If the Ds win GA you can count on a "assault" weapons ban, abortion bill, "Green" aka wealth distribution bills out the wazoo, maybe even reparations and SC packing.
Edit: IF the D's hold on to the House of course
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If the Rs win GA we're right back where we are now.
If the Ds win GA you can count on a "assault" weapons ban, abortion bill, "Green" aka wealth distribution bills out the wazoo, maybe even reparations and SC packing.
Fox has the GOP with 217 in the house vs 205 Ds. Of the 13 "undecided" races the GOP only needs to win 1 to get a House majority. They're leading in several races, but there still seem to be a LOT of untallied votes a full WEEK after the election.
Nothing suspicious there at all.
A House majority means that the worst legislation can be stopped, assuming turncoat RINOs don't vote D. (My faith in the GOP mirrors my faith in election integrity.) If the D's gain another vote in the Senate, bad things can happen with regard to judicial appointments and the filibuster.
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Fox has the GOP with 217 in the house vs 205 Ds. Of the 13 "undecided" races the GOP only needs to win 1 to get a House majority. They're leading in several races, but there still seem to be a LOT of untallied votes a full WEEK after the election.
Nothing suspicious there at all.
A House majority means that the worst legislation can be stopped, assuming turncoat RINOs don't vote D. (My faith in the GOP mirrors my faith in election integrity.) If the D's gain another vote in the Senate, bad things can happen with regard to judicial appointments and the filibuster.
Whoops, forgot to put IF the D's hold on to the House in my post. Right now I'm almost afraid to hold out hope the R's take control considering history seems to repeating itself in that virtually every uncounted ballot seems to be straight D for some strange reason. :O
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Is there really a big "silent majority" of democrats in Arizona, or are post election night votes "being found"?
Was Lake ever ahead? From what I recall seeing she was trailing since election day and her only hope was to keep counting and "finding" more ballots...
Maricopa County tends to make its ballot drops in the evenings. Keep your eye out tonight for one that could push Lake into the lead
Saturday night’s drop will likely have a heavy Republican slant based on the areas the ballots are expected to come from
...
In Arizona— don’t show up outside County buildings, don’t tweet or say stupid things. Don’t give them an excuse to stop counting votes.
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Was Lake ever ahead? From what I recall seeing she was trailing since election day and her only hope was to keep counting and "finding" more ballots...
I thought I saw her ahead the day after election day, but I wasn't following extra close. Crowder did an interview with her the day after so they might have mentioned if that was the case.
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https://apnews.com/article/entertainment-donald-trump-14a7cef45932a38a57f2ed98601a7acd
A first brief look at the upcoming book from VP Pence.
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Arizona Announces They Have Finished Counting And Calvin Coolidge Has Won Their 3 Electoral Votes
https://babylonbee.com/news/arizona-announces-they-have-finished-counting-and-calvin-coolidge-has-won-their-3-electoral-votes
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Well *expletive deleted*it
But to be honest I know almost zip about Scott
McConnell reelected Senate GOP leader; Scott’s bid rejected
https://www.wave3.com/2022/11/16/mcconnell-faces-challenge-scott-gop-senators-regroup/
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Supposedly live feed of Maricopa ballot counting center showed a cart with bags of ballots arriving “randomly” a few minutes ago.
If true, I’m sure they are all Dem marked ballots. The fix is in.
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Well *expletive deleted*it
But to be honest I know almost zip about Scott
McConnell reelected Senate GOP leader; Scott’s bid rejected
https://www.wave3.com/2022/11/16/mcconnell-faces-challenge-scott-gop-senators-regroup/
His name isn’t Mitch. That’s enough.
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Well, Alaska has finally weighed in two weeks after Election Day. That ranked choice system is working just peachy for them. It appears that if they voted like normal people, they would have an R representative, and RINO Murkowski would be out. Instead:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/alaska-incumbent-rep-mary-peltola-wins-full-term-represent-states-large-congressional-district
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/alaska-sen-lisa-murkowski-wins-re-election-us-senate-over-challenger-kelly-tshibaka
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:facepalm:
One county is apparently withholding its certification of its own results, objecting to the election results.
The Republican majority on the Cochise County Board of Supervisors pushed back certification until Friday, citing concerns about voting machines. Because Monday was the deadline for all 15 Arizona counties to certify their results, Cochise’s action could put at risk the votes of some 47,000 county residents and could inject chaos into the election if those votes go uncounted.
According to Cochise County’s own publicly posted final results, Lake won the county with 27,481 votes, to Hobbs’s 19,137 votes.
It is conceivable, although unlikely, that the county simply would not submit any certified results for the elections which would have the opposite effect that the Republican board members desire:
An initial deadline of December 5 had been set for statewide certification. In the lawsuit, Hobbs’ lawyers said state law does allow for a slight delay if her office has not received a county’s results, but not past December 8 – or 30 days after the election.
“Absent this Court’s intervention, the Secretary will have no choice but to complete statewide canvass by December 8 without Cochise County’s votes included,” her lawyers added.
If votes from this Republican stronghold somehow went uncounted, it could flip two races to Democrats: the contest for state superintendent and a congressional race in which Republican Juan Ciscomani already has been projected as the winner by CNN and other outlets.
You hear a lot of nonsensical claims and accusations about disenfranchisement, but in this case, these two county board of supervisors members would effectively disenfranchise every voter in their county.
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Well after all votes were certified here in Michigan, two school different districts revealed that there were irregularities with the signatures validating the candidates ability to be on the ballot...actually they did not qualify, but had won the elections. To fix that there has to be an appeal to a court to have a hearing about what to do.
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According to an email from the Illinois Policy Institute (a "think tank" that tracks legislation & politicians here), the "Amendment 1" passed and is now on the state's Constitution. They estimate that the average - the average - property tax bill will increase by $2200 in just 4 years.
So many union people voted for this piece of garbage believing it would help them. They are in for a shock as it only helps government unions. These unions will now be able to circumvent many state regulations and will be negotiating not only for wages and benefits, but now they can bring in things like housing, education, etc., basically, anything that they desire.
God help us because it is an absolute certainty that nobody else in this state will ever again. :facepalm: [barf]
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Dems have the senate
*expletive deleted*ck
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Well, he had all of Hollywood and the MSM campaigning for him (or perhaps more correctly, against his opponent).
Lets just hope nothing happens to the fillibuster and that our supreme court justices stay healthy. We'll probably see some very bad lower judicial appointments though.
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Dems have the senate
*expletive deleted*ck
Warnock was not going to lose. Who here really expected anything different?
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Also, didn't Georgia recently win the top spot for worst voter suppression in the history of voter suppression in the whole universe? So doesn't that actually mean Walker won?
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Besides, it makes no functional difference. For the next 2 years the Ds had the tie breaker vote anyway. It only would have mattered if the election was the difference between Rs having 50 or 51 seats. Instead it’s the difference of 49 or 50 seats. With an R VPOTUS it would have mattered.
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Besides, it makes no functional difference. For the next 2 years the Ds had the tie breaker vote anyway. It only would have mattered if the election was the difference between Rs having 50 or 51 seats. Instead it’s the difference of 49 or 50 seats. With an R VPOTUS it would have mattered.
Democrats have had several signficant bills they wanted to push held up by Manchin and Sinema. Doesn't this reduce that check?
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Besides, it makes no functional difference. For the next 2 years the Ds had the tie breaker vote anyway. It only would have mattered if the election was the difference between Rs having 50 or 51 seats. Instead it’s the difference of 49 or 50 seats. With an R VPOTUS it would have mattered.
I've read that this means D's will now have a +1 majority on all Senate committees, meaning it becomes incrementally easier for them to initiate bad policies.
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Trump had 53 Rs, and most of us here were pretty happy about all the judicial appointments and other stuff rammed through.
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Seems like the lessons of 2016 keep biting the parties in the ass. If your candidate sucks, the letter next to their name may not be enough.
Added context:
The GA general election had 3,961,154 (56.9% turnout) voters turn up. 2,358,026 White, 1,038,698 Black, and half a million or so other demographics.
The run off had 1,905,739 votes (27.2% turnout). 1,050,004 whites and 606,871 Blacks and 240,000 or so other.
Obviously race isn't an exact predictor of party, but it can be used for trends, especially in the south. Basically, well less than half of the white folks (a group that likely trends R) showed up the second time and 80% of the black folks (Which likely trend D) showed up again. That speaks to me of a pretty solid enthusiasm gap between the parties. A similar thing happened to Hillary. Especially after the DNC burned Bernie, a lot of Dems just didn't bother to go vote for an unlikable candidate. I suspect the same is true for Pennsylvania's Senate seat.
A popular, engaging candidate with *expletive deleted*it policies is probably better election-wise than a milquetoast one with good policies. A boring or compromised candidate with bad policies is just going to lose.
ref: https://sos.ga.gov/data-hub-december-6-2022-runoff
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Hold the phone.
Dems back to 50 in the senate
Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema leaves Democratic Party, registers as independent
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/arizona-sen-kyrsten-sinema-leaves-democratic-party-registers-independent
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Let's say 50.75 in the senate. She did vote with dems 90% of the time.
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Yeah, but what if Liz Cheney leaves the R Party, and starts caucusing with the Democrats.
Oh, wait - :rofl:
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Yeah, but what if Liz Cheney leaves the R Party, and starts caucusing with the Democrats.
Oh, wait - :rofl:
:rofl:
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HUGE: Runbeck Whistleblower Reveals That Chain Of Custody For OVER 298,942 Maricopa County Ballots Delivered To Runbeck On Election Day Did Not Exist, Employees Allowed To Add Family Members’ Ballots Without Any Documentation
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/12/huge-runbeck-whistleblower-reveals-chain-custody-298942-maricopa-county-ballots-delivered-runbeck-election-day-not-exist-employees-allowed-add-family-members-ballots/
Included in the complaint is a shocking claim by a Runbeck employee that nearly 300,000 ballots were delivered to Runbeck on Election Day with no chain of custody documentation.
May not change anything, but interesting.
Texas GOP Joins Arizona GOP, Calls For Ronna Romney McDaniel to Resign After She Oversees 5 Election Losses in a Row
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/12/texas-gop-joins-arizona-gop-calls-ronna-romney-mcdaniel-resign-oversees-5-elections-losses-row/
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Pretty much all I heard when many dems and for that matter many Rs speak.
Fetterman hears voices like the teachers in 'Peanuts' after stroke, struggles to adjust to Senate life: report
Fetterman was admitted into the hospital Wednesday
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fetterman-hears-voices-teachers-peanuts-after-stroke-struggles-adjust-senate-life-report
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Pennsylvania is getting exactly what it deserves, doubly so now that the state's voters have overturned Republican control of the House.
That gives the left, an increasingly liberal/socialist left, complete control of the state.
The news two years are going to be a full-on tax and spend assault on on Pennsylvanians.
I was originally planning on returning to Pennsylvania when I retired.
Now? No *expletive deleted*ing way. It's decaying in ways that I never thought would be possible.