Armed Polite Society
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
Did you miss your
activation email
?
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
News:
R.I.P. Scout26
Home
Help
Search
Login
Register
Armed Polite Society
»
Main Forums
»
Politics
»
Galloping Gallup poll
« previous
next »
Print
Pages: [
1
]
Author
Topic: Galloping Gallup poll (Read 4116 times)
Umber
New Member
Posts: 38
Galloping Gallup poll
«
on:
September 08, 2008, 03:15:27 AM »
Maybe I haven't had enough coffee yet or maybe the numbers were announced incorrectly, but I just saw the results of the latest Gallup poll. It has McCain at 54% and Obama at 44%.
I'd call that more than a "bump" and I love it.
Umber
Report to moderator
Logged
mtnbkr
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 15,388
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #1 on:
September 08, 2008, 03:25:13 AM »
I saw 50/46 while at the gym this morning.
Chris
Report to moderator
Logged
Umber
New Member
Posts: 38
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #2 on:
September 08, 2008, 06:15:28 AM »
Mtnbkr's numbers are correct. Registered voters are going for McCain/Palin over Obama/Biden 50/46. The numbers I saw on Fox and posted were for "likely" voters.
Sorry about that, folks. Should have checked the Gallup numbers on their site before posting.
Still good news IMHO.
Umber
Report to moderator
Logged
HankB
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 16,724
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #3 on:
September 08, 2008, 06:43:39 AM »
The Obama camp must be in a panic, like Fred Thompson said in his speech . . . usually at this time, Democrats are trying to
maintain
their lead, not playing "Catch up."
But of course, the
only
poll that counts is the one taken on election day.
Report to moderator
Logged
Trump won in 2016. Democrats haven't been so offended since Republicans came along and freed their slaves.
Sometimes I wonder if the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on, or by imbeciles who really mean it. -
Mark Twain
Government is a broker in pillage, and every election is a sort of advance auction in stolen goods. -
H.L. Mencken
Patriotism is supporting your country all the time, and your government when it deserves it. -
Mark Twain
MicroBalrog
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 14,505
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #4 on:
September 08, 2008, 06:59:19 AM »
Here's the Rasmussen poll from today:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
Report to moderator
Logged
Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat
.
"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner
Headless Thompson Gunner
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 8,517
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #5 on:
September 08, 2008, 07:04:05 AM »
Quote from: Umber on September 08, 2008, 05:15:28 AM
Mtnbkr's numbers are correct. Registered voters are going for McCain/Palin over Obama/Biden 50/46. The numbers I saw on Fox and posted were for "likely" voters.
Sorry about that, folks. Should have checked the Gallup numbers on their site before posting.
Still good news IMHO.
Umber
Nothing to be sorry about. Gallup currently has two different polls out, one of likely voters (McCain +10%) and one of registered voters (McCain +4%).
Besides, likely voter polls tend to be more accurate than registered voter polls.
Report to moderator
Logged
Intune
New Member
Posts: 78
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #6 on:
September 08, 2008, 07:49:29 AM »
I hope this is not considered a thread-jack.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday-
Quote
McCain leads by four points among men while
Obama leads by three among women.
On Tuesday 9/2, when Obamas lead peaked,
he had a fourteen point advantage
among women.
That is one heck of a drop.
Report to moderator
Logged
Proud RoundTable alumnus
http://www.myspace.com/experiencetheshakes
ilbob
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 1,546
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #7 on:
September 08, 2008, 07:51:17 AM »
I don't know how accurate Rasmussen has been in the past put their web site sure seems to be having a difficult time with the huge McCain bounce of late.
Report to moderator
Logged
bob
Disclaimers: I am not a lawyer, cop, soldier, gunsmith, politician, plumber, electrician, or a professional practitioner of many of the other things I comment on in this forum.
Headless Thompson Gunner
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 8,517
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #8 on:
September 08, 2008, 08:06:25 AM »
My personal opinion is that Rasmussen is one of the better polling outfits out there. They aren't necessarily more accurate than others, but they do tend to be less biased. They're as likely to over-estimate Republican votes as they are to over-estimate Democrat votes.
Rasmussen's results also tend to downplay short term volatility. Sudden spikes in the results don't appear in Rasmussen's data as strongly as they do in other pollsters.
Report to moderator
Logged
AJ Dual
friends
Senior Member
Posts: 16,162
Shoe Ballistics Inc.
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #9 on:
September 08, 2008, 08:16:10 AM »
Quote from: Headless Thompson Gunner on September 08, 2008, 06:04:05 AM
Besides, likely voter polls tend to be more accurate than
registered voter
polls.
That's what worries me. There are more "registered voters" in Milwauke County than there are "voters"...
Report to moderator
Logged
I promise not to duck.
French G.
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 10,204
ohhh sparkles!
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #10 on:
September 09, 2008, 03:45:26 PM »
Now there is a new dynamic for pollsters to ponder. That would be guys and what they think with when they vote. Link
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/09/poll-women-and-men-dont-see-eye-to-eye-on-palin/
Quote
WASHINGTON (CNN) When it comes to support for Republican Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin, a new national poll suggests men and women dont see eye-to-eye.
A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey out Tuesday morning indicates that 62 percent of men questioned have a favorable opinion of the Alaska governor, nine points higher than women. In the poll, conducted Friday through Sunday entirely after then end of the Republican convention, 23 percent of men have an unfavorable view of John McCains running mate, seven points lower than women.
The gender gap is also apparent when it comes to whether Palin is qualified to serve as president if needed. Fifty-seven percent of male respondents in the poll said Palin was qualified, 14 points higher than women. A majority of females polled, 55 percent, said that Palin is not qualified to serve as president.
Half of all respondents think Palin is qualified to serve as president, twenty points lower than Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware, the Democratic vice presidential nominee.
Oh and where were all these people who think Biden is qualified to be president when he was running for president? Pretty much invalidates the poll right there.
Report to moderator
Logged
AKA Navy Joe
I'm so contrarian that I didn't respond to the thread.
Regolith
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 6,171
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #11 on:
September 09, 2008, 04:03:55 PM »
Quote from: Headless Thompson Gunner on September 08, 2008, 06:04:05 AM
Quote from: Umber on September 08, 2008, 05:15:28 AM
Mtnbkr's numbers are correct. Registered voters are going for McCain/Palin over Obama/Biden 50/46. The numbers I saw on Fox and posted were for "likely" voters.
Sorry about that, folks. Should have checked the Gallup numbers on their site before posting.
Still good news IMHO.
Umber
Nothing to be sorry about. Gallup currently has two different polls out, one of likely voters (McCain +10%) and one of registered voters (McCain +4%).
Besides, likely voter polls tend to be more accurate than registered voter polls.
True, as many people who will likely be voting aren't registered yet. Like me. Won't be registered for another week.
Report to moderator
Logged
The price of freedom is eternal vigilance.
- Thomas Jefferson
Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.
- William Pitt the Younger
Perfectly symmetrical violence never solved anything.
- Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth
MechAg94
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 33,912
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #12 on:
September 09, 2008, 04:55:11 PM »
Conservative candidates have always polled higher with men than with women.
Report to moderator
Logged
“It is much more important to kill bad bills than to pass good ones.” ― Calvin Coolidge
Bigjake
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 3,024
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #13 on:
September 09, 2008, 06:13:43 PM »
Have you guys seen any of the news sites? They're all REACTING to Sarah Palin. It's the hit dog that yips, as they say. The more the MSN whines, the better we do.
Report to moderator
Logged
RocketMan
Mad Rocket Scientist
friend
Senior Member
Posts: 13,689
Semper Fidelis
Re: Galloping Gallup poll
«
Reply #14 on:
September 17, 2008, 03:41:01 PM »
Here it is, a little over a week later and the bump is entirely gone. Entirely. McCain and Obama are in a dead heat.
I predict that, with the MSM's continuing help, Obama will be up a solid seven points by this time two weeks from now. And he will carry at least that margin through until election day.
Not good.
Report to moderator
Logged
If there really was intelligent life on other planets, we'd be sending them foreign aid.
Conservatives see George Orwell's "1984" as a cautionary tale. Progressives view it as a "how to" manual.
My wife often says to me, "You are evil and must be destroyed." She may be right.
Liberals believe one should never let reason, logic and facts get in the way of a good emotional argument.
Print
Pages: [
1
]
« previous
next »
Armed Polite Society
»
Main Forums
»
Politics
»
Galloping Gallup poll