Author Topic: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb  (Read 1779 times)

Manedwolf

  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 14,516
UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« on: February 19, 2009, 06:11:56 PM »
Well. The world just got even more interesting. What now?

Quote
Iran holds enough uranium for bomb

By Daniel Dombey

Published: February 19 2009 21:18 | Last updated: February 19 2009 21:18

Iran has now built up a stockpile of enough enriched uranium for one nuclear bomb, United Nations officials acknowledged on Thursday.

In a development that comes as the Obama administration is drawing up its policy on negotiations with Tehran over its nuclear programme, UN officials said Iran had produced more nuclear material than previously thought.

They said Iran had now accumulated more than one tonne of low enriched uranium hexafluoride at a facility in Natanz. If such a quantity were further enriched it could produce more than 20kg of fissile material – enough for a bomb.

“It appears that Iran has walked right up to the threshold of having enough low enriched uranium to provide enough raw material for a single bomb,” said Peter Zimmerman, a former chief scientist of the US Arms Control and Disarmament Agency

The new figures come in a report by the International Atomic Energy Agency, the UN’s nuclear watchdog, released on Thursday.

This revealed that Iran’s production of low enriched uranium had previously been underestimated.

When the agency carried out an annual stocktaking of Natanz in mid-November Iran had produced 839 kg of low enriched uranium hexafluoride – more than 200kg more than previously thought.

Tehran then produced an additional 171 kg by the end of January.

“It’s sure as hell certain that if they didn’t have it [enough] when the IAEA took these measurements, they will have it in a matter of weeks,” Mr Zimmerman said.

Iran’s success in reaching such a “breakout capacity” – a stage which would allow it to produce enough fissile material for a bomb in a matter of months – crosses a “red line” that for years Israel has said it would not accept.

However, UN officials emphasise that in order to produce fissile material Iran would have to reconfigure its Natanz plant to produce high enriched uranium rather than low enriched uranium – a highly visible step that would take months – or to shift its stockpile to another clandestine site.

No such sites have been proved to exist, although for decades Iran hid evidence of its nuclear programme.

A senior UN official added that countries usually waited until they had an enriched uranium stockpile sufficient for several bombs before proceeding to develop fissile material. But he conceded that Iran now had enough enriched uranium for one bomb.

“Do they have enough low enriched uranium to produce a significant quantity [enough high enriched uranium for a bomb]?” he asked. “In theory this is possible, [although] with the present configuration at Natanz it isn’t.”

David Albright, the head of the Institute for Science and International Security, said: ““If Iran did decide to build nuclear weapons, it’s entering an era in which it could do so quickly.”

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f367aada-fec8-11dd-b19a-000077b07658.html

Gewehr98

  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 11,010
  • Yee-haa!
    • Neural Misfires (Blog)
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2009, 06:26:01 PM »
UF6 is not HEU.

Just a little hint, there...
"Bother", said Pooh, as he chambered another round...

http://neuralmisfires.blogspot.com

"Never squat with your spurs on!"

Bigjake

  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 3,024
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2009, 10:45:57 PM »
Good for them.

Now, if they START an International Nuke pissing contest, they'll have just enough nukular stuffs to get involved, and then decimated.  (which, would likely be a Good Thing) 

MicroBalrog

  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 14,505
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2009, 11:26:51 PM »
Quote
“Do they have enough low enriched uranium to produce a significant quantity [enough high enriched uranium for a bomb]?” he asked. “In theory this is possible, [although] with the present configuration at Natanz it isn’t.”

This is the key point. I'm not a physicist, nor do I play one on TV, but it seems to me they have a long way to go to a nuke, even assuming they want one.
Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat.

"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner

Zardozimo Oprah Bannedalas

  • Webley Juggler
  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 4,415
  • All I got is a fistful of shekels
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2009, 11:30:55 PM »
This brings up an interesting question: what is in the best interest of one's country? Building nukes, or threatening to build them so as to get a nice juicy payoff to do otherwise?

Perd Hapley

  • Superstar of the Internet
  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 61,539
  • My prepositions are on/in
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2009, 11:56:19 PM »
So, now that Bush has left office, it's revealed that Iran is more of a threat?  I thought the whole idea of a scary nucular Iran was just Bush/Cheney fear-mongering.   ;/
"Doggies are angel babies!" -- my wife

MicroBalrog

  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 14,505
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2009, 12:01:40 AM »
So, now that Bush has left office, it's revealed that Iran is more of a threat?  I thought the whole idea of a scary nucular Iran was just Bush/Cheney fear-mongering.   ;/

Weren't we told that Iran would go nuclear by January 2009?
Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat.

"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner

Headless Thompson Gunner

  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 8,517
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2009, 12:14:18 AM »
Weren't we told that Iran would go nuclear by January 2009?
Who told us this?

MicroBalrog

  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 14,505
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2009, 12:29:50 AM »
Who told us this?

I remember reading in the newspapers about how there was a "window of opportunity" to strike against Iran that would close by the end of 2007. Then it was the end of 2008.

I'm not quite certain I can provide a reference, though, so feel free to ignore me. :D
Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat.

"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner

Perd Hapley

  • Superstar of the Internet
  • friend
  • Senior Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 61,539
  • My prepositions are on/in
Re: UN acknowledges Iran holds enough uranium for bomb
« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2009, 01:14:19 AM »
We usually do.  :P
"Doggies are angel babies!" -- my wife