Goldman has a habit of predicting massive price increases, especially their commodity people. they have an incentive to convince people that prices are about to explode.
I mention their $15 gas prediction to illustrate the point. It worked out great for Goldman, as it helped keep prices at $4 long enough for them to offload a bunch of their own oil futures right before the collapse happened.
Yes, it's true nobody is right all the time (or wrong all the time, for that matter). Just be sure you know who you're listening to and why, and don't take too much risk based on someone else's predictions.
