I've also been seeing a lot of anecdotal news stories about voter fraud being caught in the early voting, police involvement, outright sting operations in Pennsylvania. And I also think that Hillary just isn't motivating enough for the vote fraud to be expanded or worked harder. So I'm guessing it'll happen where Democrat-leaning vote fraud has been institutionalized long enough to be almost automatic. Which might be in blue counties/states anyway and is already "built in" to the numbers year to year. New or "extra" vote fraud, I could see it for Obama where people were motivated, and felt somehow justified for social reasons. But I don't see people being nearly as willing to stick their neck out for corrupt, unlikable, warmongering Hillary.
That and other states like WI have finally gotten voter ID through all it's court challenges.
There's also a ton of other polling that doesn't jibe with the national numbers. Like well over 50% of Latinos approving of deportation of illegals, and reducing imigration.
Or various state level or Senate/House races that are swinging Republican, but somehow Trump isn't? I sincerely doubt the #nevertrump vote is enough to account for the difference. More like the "hidden vote" might be real. And with groups like blacks, hispanics, unions etc. there's even more reason or pressure to keep it hidden than just average white middle-class voters have. With both the DNC and much of the GOP hating on him, I think he looks like a third-party candidate to many, but still GOP enough for the majority of reliable Republican voters. So whatever crossover there is, he's going to get the lion's share of it. Like 95% of it.
And I see most of the reports of record turnout in early voting, favoring Trump in states like FL and NC, or even where he was behind in the early/absentee votes, it was cases like NC where his deficit was less than Romney's in 2012, and NC was a state Romney carried.
I'll say 50% Trump 46% Clinton 3% for Johnson, 1% for Stein, and Trump takes the EC with 307 votes.
