I give it a 40% chance of actually docking
What horrifies me is Boeing's deadlight stare into the abyss and steadfast refusal to accept a failure as a failure and learn from it.
They had a partial parachute failure during the launch abort test of this capsule at White Sands. They called it a success because despite 1 chute failure, they were within tolerances with redundancies of the other chutes. No remedial actions or investigations into the chute failure and Boeing actively ridiculed and rejected the space media and space fandom insistence that the chute failure be better investigated.
Then in OFT-1 they had a cascade of failures, but lobbied very hard to try and have NASA qualify the mission as a successful flight test because they achieved "most" of the bullet point objectives on the mission itinerary. Nevermind they didn't actually achieve the actual purpose of the craft of proving viability of the craft to deliver personnel and cargo to the space station.
The last attempt to launch OFT-2 that was scrubbed, was scrubbed because the OMS was having issues with its valve reliability due to Florida humidity. Who could have foreseen that a spacecraft that launches from Florida would have to be able to overcome high humidity? /sarcasm
Now in OFT-2, despite Boeing and Aerojet-Rocketdyne supposedly having redesigned the OMS system's valves to be able to handle the humidity, they have 2 propulsion failures prior to final target orbit insertion and they're still lobbying to continue the mission. Propulsion mishaps on the part of the Russians in the last 2 years have put the station at serious risk of compromise. It cannot afford or tolerate those type of stresses on its junctions. Starliner's legacy in space is a series of propulsion screw-ups. OFT-1 saw its clock programmed incorrectly and the OMS was hammered by unnecessary microadjustments that overheated its thrusters. Then the re-entry burn was incorrectly programmed(actions given to thrusters with the wrong vectors) but firmware-patched at the last second as the craft was descending... only to wind up nearly crashing into the OMS module during capsule separation for reentry.
