Who will win in 2020?

[WLJ]

Reports coming in that the uncounted ballets in AZ are going heavily pro Trump

[just Warren]

LOL, Jesse Ventura is on the POTUS ballot in Alaska.

He's not winning.

[WLJ]

David Limbaugh
@DavidLimbaugh
And get off of Pennsylvania’s back. How do you expect them to give you final vote tallies before they know how much deficit they need to make up? What is wrong with you people?
1:31 AM · Nov 4, 2020·TweetDeck

[WLJ]

Paul Sperry
@paulsperry_
BREAKING: Arnon Mishkin -- the Fox election decision desk chief analyst who called Arizona prematurely for Biden and potentially suppressed Trump votes in Nevada -- is a registered Dem who voted for Hillary & shelled out $4,000+ for Obama & Dems, according to FEC & voting records
1:00 AM · Nov 4, 2020·Twitter Web App

Well now you know

[dogmush]

First thing in the Morning:

We still don't  know.

AP has GA, NC, PA, MI and WI all leaning red, and if he wins those he's got it. He has a pretty decent lead in some of them still.  We'll see what USPS "found" ballots look like.

AZ appears to still be where it was when you guys went to bed, called by the press for Biden, 100,000 votes difference, and 80% reporting. The map shows two blue and for red counties still reporting.

PA concerns me a little, not going to lie.

[WLJ]

WI now blue 0.5 difference. Could still go either way.
MI now at 1%

If they flip MI it's all on PA where I have no doubt there's convoys of station wagons heading to the polling stations.

[WLJ]

MI now at 1.5%
But if he loses WI he still needs PA. If he can hang on in MI and if someone so much as sneezes in WI he doesn't need PA.

[dogmush]

MI now at 1.5%
But if he loses WI he still needs PA. If he can hang on in MI and if someone so much as sneezes in WI he doesn't need PA

Per the Guardian map all the WI big blue counties are in and locked.  The only real outstanding portion of WI is Brown County at 50% reporting and 56% for Trump.  Not sure what's going on there, if it's mail in votes or what holding up the count.

Guardian is showing like a 7,200 vote difference statewide.  The vote station wagons in Milwaukee county may have blown their load a little early.

[WLJ]

0.6 differnce in NV. Flipping would mean he can win without PA if he holds on MI That could shake thing up a bit and it could be heading that way

Buuuuut

 

  Leah Barkoukis | Nov 04, 2020 6:22 AM est

Nevada will not resume counting votes until THURSDAY at 9 a.m.

What the Holy ??

[WLJ]

Now 0.05 in MI. Diff is less than 2,000 votes
I think it's going blue

[dogmush]

Biden's lead in WI also seems to be opening.

If MI and WI both go Biden, I think we can call it.

[makattak]

And now it's time for philly voter fraud to steal the election for Biden.

[Perd Hapley]

Per the Washington Post, exit polls show Trump getting 12% of the black vote, 18% of the black male vote. Trump won 32% of the Latino vote, and 36% of Latino men.

Both candidates got 6% cross-party support, but Biden got a much larger share of independents.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2020/exit-polls/presidential-election-exit-polls/

Also, look at how much more support Trump got from white Evangelicals than from the rest of the voters. As a white Evangelical, allow me to say, you're welcome, America. We did our part. 

[Ron]

The longer the count goes on the more Democrat votes that are found, funny that ...

It never seems to go the other way.

[Ben]

I hit the rack at 10 my time last night. Waking up this morning, my first two thoughts were:

WTF Nevada? You need a day off?!?

As I've been griping a lot lately, while I don't mind and even like well-regulated mail-in/absentee ballots, you don't get to count them after election day. Can I show up at my polling place in-person today and vote? I understand counting and some other errors/problems RARELY creating situations where you have to do confirmed counts past election day, but waiting for mail-in ballots is a democratic scheme. And I emphasize democratic, because I'm pretty sure 99 of every 100 Rs support mail-ins and harvested (especially harvested) ballots not being counted after election day.

Additionally, as I look at maps, in almost every state, or county within a state that still has low percentages of votes counted this morning, color=blue. CA barely has 65% of votes counted as of the last map update I saw.

Also, Trump's campaign needs to send like 15,000 lawyers to PA. The DA there is a crook.

Second also, twenty years ago, AZ was on my list for retirement states. I'm glad now, that I crossed it off my list.

[Ron]

Per the Washington Post, exit polls show Trump getting 12% of the black vote, 18% of the black male vote. Trump won 32% of the Latino vote, and 36% of Latino men.

Both candidates got 6% cross-party support, but Biden got a much larger share of independents.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2020/exit-polls/presidential-election-exit-polls/

Also, look at how much more support Trump got from white Evangelicals than from the rest of the voters. As a white Evangelical, allow me to say, you're welcome, America. We did our part.  

The stupid party will consider 12% Black and 32% Latino a huge win even while we lose the country.

If Trump doesn't pull a rabbit out of his hat 2016 will be the last time a Republican was ever elected President.

Open borders here we come ...

[Ben]

Ugh. All four squad members were re-elected. If I were looking for reasons to be in favor of civil war, that's one. That or IQ requirements for voters.

[WLJ]

Ugh. All four squad members were re-elected. If I were looking for reasons to be in favor of civil war, that's one. That or IQ requirements for voters.

And candidates

[Ron]

I had Trump losing Wisconsin but winning Michigan, Georgia, NC, and PA. If that still pans out he wins.

 

[Ben]

If Trump wins, I think we can expect "end the electoral college" to be the rallying cry of rioters and socialists for the next four years. He's 2.5 million popular votes behind Biden, similar to 2016 vs Clinton. I once again rag on my former state and blame CA for a majority of those popular votes. The popular vote is going to fuel a lot of antifa destruction over the next few months.

[MillCreek]

Whomever wins will not have a huge mandate behind him.  Not with these squeaker margins.

[RocketMan]

Per the Washington Post, exit polls show Trump getting 12% of the black vote, 18% of the black male vote. Trump won 32% of the Latino vote, and 36% of Latino men.

What happened to the polls showing black support for Trump as high as 30%?  Oh, yeah, it was all wishful thinking.

[DittoHead]

Whomever wins will not have a huge mandate behind him.  Not with these squeaker margins.

Biden wouldn't have a mandate even with a landslide. Almost all his votes are anti-Trump, Biden and his platform are an afterthought.

[WLJ]

Whomever wins will not have a huge mandate behind him.  Not with these squeaker margins.

You can bet dollars to donuts that even if the dems won by just one vote you will be hearing the word mandate 24/7 from both the dems and the media

[RocketMan]

What we are seeing is a majority of Americans voting for socialism.  Many of those voting for socialism would deny it, telling you that socialism is bad.  Then, in the next breath they would tell you what services and products they demand of government.  That what they demand is actually socialism is lost on them.  As I said earlier in this thread, never underestimate the stupidity of the average American voter.
At least America had a good run.  About average for a nominally free constitutional republic.