The thought occurred to me today: Do we think that the Soviet era nukes and rockets are any better maintained and operational then the rest of the Red Army's gear is proving to be? Given the results if we guess wrong, I'm not eager to roll the dice, but it's something to think about while sipping bourbon.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FDKH_FxFdrwTask & Purpose showed some footage of Russian supply trucks with flat tires or dry rotted tires indicating some of their stuff is poorly maintained. I don't want to plan on the nuclear capability being in the same boat. At the least, there will be a portion of it that is in good readiness and that is enough.
That video shows a little of what he thinks the Russians are up to. He thinks they are taking things slow and making sure they have good logistics before they push forward.
Similar to Nukes, I am curious just how much of Russia's military is fully ready to go and how much is poorly maintained or is lacking in fuel/parts/supplies. I was sort of wondering if this is why they haven't used their jet aircraft as much. Maybe they don't have a big stockpile of parts/fuel/munitions for an extended engagement. Or maybe they would have to draw down forces in other areas more than they want. Just speculation I guess. Russian has a big, well equipped military, but they don't have the biggest economy. There have to be gaps somewhere.