I wanna be a meteorologist

[Marnoot]

I believe the X% chance of rain/snow/whatever means that historically, with models saying the same things they're saying right now, it has rained X% of the time. Rather than it being a wager by the meteorologist of what they feel the odds are.

[cordex]

I recently had the opportunity to read a letter that a relative wrote back in the "good old days" weather prognostication (Feburary of 1951).  It says in part:

I think it is going to rain, tho the weather report said "fair".

[brimic]

I believe the X% chance of rain/snow/whatever means that historically, with models saying the same things they're saying right now, it has rained X% of the time. Rather than it being a wager by the meteorologist of what they feel the odds are.

What I've heard it to mean was that say if there is a '30% chance of rain' it doesn't mean that there is a 3/10 chance that its going to rain, it means that of the area covered by the forecast, 30% of it is likely to get rain.

[Hawkmoon]

Dad was a research meteorologist for 35 years. Still dabbles 25 years after retiring. I call for forecast he says check the rock. Rock wet rain. Rock white snow. In the good old days their forecasts were much less specific and not that accurate even then.

My late uncle strung a length of 3/16" cotton clothesline rope between two posts supporting the lean-to roof on the side of his detached garage facing the house. He could see the rope from the living room window, and the amount of sag was a fairly reliable predictor of what the next 12 or so hours would be like.

[230RN]

Heh.  High humidity, high temperature, more sag.

If he could have evacuated a tin can and strung it up on one end of the rope, he'd have had a barometer hooked into it also.  Low pressure, can expands, resulting in still more sag.

Temp, humidity, and barometer all in one reading !

Coool ! 

[KD5NRH]

Considering the info Monkeyleg seems to have had ready at hand in the other thread, I'm thinking he just mistyped that he really wants to be a meaty urologist.

Sort of a heavier version of the guy in this video.

[Monkeyleg]

Considering the info Monkeyleg seems to have had ready at hand in the other thread, I'm thinking he just mistyped that he really wants to be a meaty urologist.

Sort of a heavier version of the guy in this video.

:D

[KD5NRH]

:D

Clearly, you didn't watch it from about 7:30 on.  If you can do that without cringing, you need serious help.

[BlueStarLizzard]

What the hell? Why do ya'll get pretty miss sweater bunnies and we get either the doofy looking dork with fluff on the midsection or the little inbred looking guy with a mild speech impediment?

This is not fair.

[Monkeyleg]

Clearly, you didn't watch it from about 7:30 on.  If you can do that without cringing, you need serious help.

I watched the whole thing. Been through all this with my doc before. I cringe, but not as much as I did at first.