I'm actually not too worried about this one, we'll have a decent vote on guns and such either way and I love getting your tax dollars sent to me to burn for warmth on cold winter nights, but the media coverage is odd.
They keep talking about how Murkowski is "gaining" as the write-in count progresses. Actually she can't gain, only lose votes, which is what's happening.
All 92,528 write-in ballots have been presumed to be for Murkowski; with Miller only having around 80K after the polls closed he appears to be dreaming if he thinks he can win.
But not all 92,528 are proving to be actual votes for his opponent so this is going to come down to the court decision(s) on the challenges.
Actual counting of the write-ins is showing that only 89% are clearly unchallengeable for Murkowski, with maybe up to another 10% being challenged. If that ratio holds, that's only a total of 82,350 or so unchallengeable votes.
As of last night Miller was at 81,195 votes. That's a small margin of 1,155 "for sure" votes for Murkowski. Further, there are still absentee and early ballots left to count, none with Murkowski's name on them (and I don't think those can even have write-ins), so a significant portion of those are likely to go to Miller; which means that margin of "for sure votes" may disappear or even invert in Miller's favor.
That means the Court rulings on the challenged write-in votes will probably decide the election, and Miller's case isn't bad.