"So, what you are selling is basically the Secret, right."
(A) Don't put words in my mouth.
(B) It's obviously not a secret.
(C) I'm not selling anything.
(D) The "influencing probabilities through mental effort" is a mere hypothetical construct, developed to explain a lot of things that a lot of people have noticed... both in Prayer and in (Ceremonial) Magic. Could be right, could be wrong, could be somebody's loaded the pennies, could be just a function of people's tendencies to remember the postive outcomes. After all, as I have maintained before, all science is ultimately based on anecdotal observation, i.e., the "Gee, that's odd" experience. The difficulty here is that such things as I discussed as similarities v differences in "Magic v Prayer" rarely reach statistical significance, commonly defined as rejecting the null hypotheses with a confidence level of P<0.05 or P<0.01 (depending on how conservative the researcher is.)
If, indeed, Gandalf could call down lightning on demand, with a P=1.00, we would not be having this discussion.
And, in my view, science is merely the
seeking of knowledge, which, in and of itself, should not be limited by prior art or prior science.
Here's something I like to quote in this regard:
"The great field for new discoveries," said a
scientific friend to me the other day, "is always the
unclassified residuum." Round about the accredited and orderly
facts of every science there ever floats a sort of dust-cloud of
exceptional observations, of occurences minute and irregular
and seldom met with, which it always proves more easy to ignore
than to attend to. The ideal of every science is that of a
closed and completed system of truth. The charm of most sciences
to their more passive disciples consists in their appearing, in
fact, to wear just this ideal form. Each one of our various
"ologies" seems to offer a definite head of classification for
every possible phenomenon of the sort which it professes to
cover, and so far from free is most men's fancy, that, when a
consistent and organized scheme of this sort has once been
comprehended and assimilated, a different scheme is unimaginable.
No alternative... can any longer be conceived as possible.
Phenomena unclassified within the system are therefore
paradoxical absurdities, and must be held untrue. (From William
James' "Psychical Research," circa 1890
Worth thinking over once or twice, eh?
Terry, 230RN