I've said this to some friends in real life, and they've all told me that I'm crazy. So, maybe I am crazy, but I'm going to say it here:
Neither Clinton nor Obama will win the democratic nomination. My money's on Gore. The dems have a recent history of putting out high profile early leaders (Dean, Clark, Edwards) whose campaigns end up going nowhere. I don't believe that either candidate has a strong backing with the power players in the party--they're just the most interesting people the media could find to start running stories on.
To make things interesting, if anyone wants to do a one month avatar bet for after the official nomation, I'm game. For one month after the nomination is announced, I'll wear any avatar you want if Obama or Clinton get the nomination. If it's *anyone else,* you wear whatever avatar I pick out. Standard avater rules for the forum apply with regards to size and content, but other than that, anything is fair game.