As badly as the Democrats do running this country, they run circles around the Republicans with regard to getting their voters to the polls. Plus, I still believe at least half, if not more, of the people in the USA really desire a socialist government. Many probably don't realize that what they want is socialism because they are politically ignorant. But they sure vote for it.
They way I see it, in 2024, Biden wins reelection, if he is still in the race. Otherwise, his replacement will win the presidency. The Democrats will solidify their control over the Senate, and they will take back the House.
2023 Election was the odd year elections for school boards and city councils in Iowa (non party elections). The local city council race wasn't too crazy, pretty normal, incumbents for the most part ran unopposed or the opposition was bat *expletive deleted*it crazy. There was one really contested race of a vacated city council person's death a few months ago.
Now the school board was quite a hot mess. 4 open seats and 8 people were vying for the 4 seats. The four candidates that won ran in unison against basically everything the GOP ran state government has enacted in the last 2 years for education in Iowa. Things like book bans, private school vouchers, etc. There is a whole laundry list that is going to significantly change publc schools in Iowa, bad or good, still to be determined.
The 4 that lost, 2 wanted Christian religion in public schools. 1 wanted to change the mascot back to Mohawk from the current Riverhawk, and the 4th one was a very vocal QAnon follower.
The 4 that one got 65% of the vote and the other 4% got 35% of the vote equally. Registered votes here are pretty much 35% GOP, 35% DEM and %30 independent or other party.
Basically, the winning 4 got the Dem and independent voters.
Be interesting to see what happens in 2024 in Iowa with the County, State (house and 1/2 of the Senate), and Federal elections, then again in 2026 when the Gov et al are up for election.
I know in Iowa abortion and the school voucher system is going to be quite contentious.