Prediction time: What do you think will come of the Ukraine/Russia conflict?
I suspect Russia will attack, but am not at all confident about it. If Russia were to back off now, Ukraine would just redouble its efforts to join NATO - which doesn't serve Russia's goals. It seems that if Russia attacks and occupies Ukraine, the sanctions from the international community will be mostly economic, from NATO block members. Russia's biggest trading partners are China, Netherlands, Germany, Belarus and Turkey. Will China care much? Doubt it. The other four will, but Russia sells them lots of energy. How much hardball can they play with that dependence?
I suppose it's possible that this move is just theater to scare NATO from even considering Ukraine as a NATO state.