With the caveat that there are still almost two months for a SHTF event, at this point I believe Trump will win handily. I believe all the riots and looting have gained Trump votes, or at least kept some who might vote dem at home. Additionally, the financial experts are in nearly full agreement that the third and fourth quarters are going to be off the charts. If third quarter results come out before the election, that will also help Trump.
This is probably a separate topic, but there is enough TDS that even a big win will not be accepted. We have all heard what Hillary Clinton said, and Pelosi, Schumer, et al will lead the march to that regardless of what it does to our country.
I honestly have no idea what will happen in the House and Senate. Right now I'm going to take a guess that we gain a few seats in the house and continue to barely hold the majority in the Senate.