Let me ask you this - what’s a medical source whose opinion you would trust on COVID, and why would you trust that source over the CDC or media interviews with hospital ICU directors?
All of our sources of information are pumping out BS 24/7.
We have no way of knowing the truth of these matters except at a local level, by anecdotal evidence, from those within our circle of acquaintances.
Who/what is attacked by the Masters of the current Narrative can be a useful guide by believing the opposite of what they say. Although that's how they've controlled the right wing for years so it is a less than perfect tool.
My local intel, being in the shadow of Chicago and five miles from one of our first hot spots, is that it is a nasty bug that will put the hurt on those susceptible to it due to comorbitities or other less understood reasons. My intel comes from circles that include police, nurses, doctors, folks who are closer to the "front lines" here.
There is great hesitation on their part to contradict the FEAR narrative. Their actions show compliance to the narrative but they also show observable levels of less fear and less neurotic behavior. Oftentimes they will talk down the risk (we overreacted) but then reinforce the narrative by saying it can't hurt to be extra careful etc...